Nithya Raman
Implied probability 11%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 11:44 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 17% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Nithya Raman for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story’s mention of independence as a resolution factor, but only a public endorsement by Sanders counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%