Larson Wins Talladega, Extends Chase Points Lead
Kyle Larson wins the YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway after a last-lap rally from 11th to first.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by SI Feed, 8 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 04:06 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 03:59 UTC | 6% |
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| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 00:45 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 6% |
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| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 5% |
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| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 6% |
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| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 17% |
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| 19 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 26% |
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| 18 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 24% |
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| 18 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 20:06 UTC | 29% |
| 18 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 31% |
| 18 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 29% |
| 18 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 31% |
| 18 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 30% |
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| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 29% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 31% |
| 18 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 06:30 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 30% |
| 17 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 26% |
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| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 19% |
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| 12 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 21% |
| 12 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 19% |
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| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 25% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 29% |
| 11 Oct, 17:48 UTC | 28% |
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| 11 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 27% |
| 11 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 25% |
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| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 25% |
| 10 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 26% |
| 10 Oct, 02:06 UTC | 29% |
| 9 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 26% |
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| 9 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 30% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 27% |
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| 9 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 30% |
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| 9 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 27% |
| 8 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 25% |
| 8 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 25% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 26% |
| 7 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 26% |
| 7 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 26% |
| 7 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 26% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 25% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 29% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Oct, 01:30 UTC | 29% |
| 6 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 19:35 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Oct, 16:03 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Oct, 13:39 UTC | 22% |
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| 5 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 20% |
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| 5 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 22% |
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| 5 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 19% |
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| 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 16% |
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| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 26% |
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| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 37% |
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| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 38% |
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| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 36% |
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| 3 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 36% |
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| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 36% |
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| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 37% |
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| 2 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 11:35 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 32% |
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| 1 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 32% |
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| 1 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 04:37 UTC | 35% |
| 1 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 17:51 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 33% |
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| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 32% |
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| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Sept, 17:41 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 30% |
| 29 Sept, 08:41 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Sept, 13:12 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Sept, 12:04 UTC | 30% |
| 28 Sept, 11:36 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Sept, 05:19 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 29% |
| 28 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Sept, 01:36 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Sept, 23:44 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 26% |
| 26 Sept, 22:11 UTC | 30% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Denny Hamlin respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 25 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 25 October at 21:52 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 9 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 25 October at 23:58 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Denny Hamlin — the market puts it at 5%, with $9k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Denny Hamlin wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake this for a single race victory rather than the final season title.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Denny Hamlin at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedKyle Larson Thrills with Last Lap Rally, Photo-Finish Win at Talladega17%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comNASCAR Cup Playoffs Point Standings and Updated Schedule After 2026 Talladega Results12%▼5 points since the previous source
- www.espn.comLarson extends points lead with first NASCAR win at Talladega after last-lap scramble5%▼7 points since the previous source
- www.espn.comLarson extends Chase points lead with last-lap rally at Talladega6%▲1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedOfficial Race Results for the YellaWood 500 at Talladega6%
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Larson extends Chase points lead with last-lap rally at Talladega www.espn.com ·
- Larson extends points lead with first NASCAR win at Talladega after last-lap scramble www.espn.com ·
- Official Race Results for the YellaWood 500 at Talladega SI Feed
- NASCAR Cup Playoffs Point Standings and Updated Schedule After 2026 Talladega Results feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Kyle Larson Thrills with Last Lap Rally, Photo-Finish Win at Talladega SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Denny Hamlin 5% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Kyle Larson
- NASCAR Cup Series
- Talladega Superspeedway