Denny Hamlin
Why it moved: −7 points at 22:20 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: NASCAR Cup Playoffs Point Standings and Updated Schedule After 2026 Talladega Results — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 10:07 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 07:31 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 01:19 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 23:01 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 20:33 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 11:35 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 09:57 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 05:32 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 18:31 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 18% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Denny Hamlin wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake this for a single race victory rather than the final season title.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%