Toney Injury, Ohio State QB Shuffle Shift Heisman Odds to Darian Mensah
Malachi Toney's injury and Ohio State's quarterback changes have elevated Darian Mensah to Heisman favorite, displacing Jeremiah Smith.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 7 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 08:07 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 04:05 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 03:30 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 02:17 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 18% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Malachi Toney win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 11 articles since 31 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 31 October at 15:51 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 11h 42m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 5 November at 17:27 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS Sports Headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Malachi Toney win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? — the market puts it at 1%, with $295 traded in the last 24 hours. For the "Yes" outcome to occur, Malachi Toney must be officially named the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy by the Heisman Trophy Trust or credible reporting consensus before the deadline. The market resolves based on the announcement made at the ceremony scheduled for December 12, 2026, or within the extended timeframe if postponed.
- Jeremiah Smith — the market puts it at 33%, with $503 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 22 May 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Jeremiah Smith is chosen as the first overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. It resolves to No if he is not selected first. Readers often mistake his college performance, such as tying an Ohio State record, for determining the outcome, but only the draft selection matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Malachi Toney win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CBS Sports HeadlinesCan Jeremiah Smith's Heisman Trophy candidacy survive Ohio State's sudden QB shuffle?—
- feeds.bleacherreport.comLatest Heisman Trophy 2026 Odds as Darian Mensah Rises, Jeremiah Smith Falls—
- CBS Sports HeadlinesJeremiah Smith's Heisman hopes take hit after Ohio State's offense sputtered with new QB in USC loss—
- CBS Sports HeadlinesCollege football Week 9 overreactions: Big Ten closer to ACC and Big 12 than SEC, no Heisman for Jeremiah—
- SI FeedHeisman Odds Week 10: New Betting Favorite Overtakes Jeremiah Smith—
- CBS Sports Headlines2026 Heisman Trophy stock watch: Miami superstars surge while Jeremiah Smith's path to the award narrows—
- SI FeedA New Quarterback Leaves Jeremiah Smith Forgotten in the Hesiman Race—
- SI FeedHeisman Rankings After Week 9: Why Malachi Toney Is the Clear Choice Between Miami’s Contenders18%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comLatest Heisman Trophy Odds for Jeremiah Smith, Darian Mensah, More After Malachi Toney Injury Update18%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesMalachi Toney injury reshapes Heisman race as Jeremiah Smith, Darian Mensah gain momentum1%▼18 points since the previous source
- SI FeedJeremiah Smith Retakes Heisman Lead on Kalshi After Malachi Toney Injury1%
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Jeremiah Smith Retakes Heisman Lead on Kalshi After Malachi Toney Injury SI Feed
- Malachi Toney injury reshapes Heisman race as Jeremiah Smith, Darian Mensah gain momentum CBS Sports Headlines
- Latest Heisman Trophy Odds for Jeremiah Smith, Darian Mensah, More After Malachi Toney Injury Update feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Heisman Rankings After Week 9: Why Malachi Toney Is the Clear Choice Between Miami’s Contenders SI Feed
- A New Quarterback Leaves Jeremiah Smith Forgotten in the Hesiman Race SI Feed
- 2026 Heisman Trophy stock watch: Miami superstars surge while Jeremiah Smith's path to the award narrows CBS Sports Headlines
Show 5 more sources
- Heisman Odds Week 10: New Betting Favorite Overtakes Jeremiah Smith SI Feed
- College football Week 9 overreactions: Big Ten closer to ACC and Big 12 than SEC, no Heisman for Jeremiah CBS Sports Headlines
- Jeremiah Smith's Heisman hopes take hit after Ohio State's offense sputtered with new QB in USC loss CBS Sports Headlines
- Latest Heisman Trophy 2026 Odds as Darian Mensah Rises, Jeremiah Smith Falls feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Can Jeremiah Smith's Heisman Trophy candidacy survive Ohio State's sudden QB shuffle? CBS Sports Headlines
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Malachi Toney win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Jeremiah Smith 33% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Jeremiah Smith
- Malachi Toney
- Darian Mensah
- Ohio State
- Miami