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IonQ to Acquire Elisity for Up to $1.3 Billion in All-Stock Deal

The quantum computing firm will pay up to $150 million in earnouts tied to the cybersecurity company's future performance.

2 publishers · 5 articles · first seen 12 Oct 2026 · updated 26d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · IonQ
0%50%100%8%11 Oct, 11:19 UTCnowBloomberg Technology: IonQ's Biggest Move Yet: A $1.3B Security Acquisition · 12 Oct, 15:26 UTCBloomberg Technology: T-Mobile Rises on Upgrade; IonQ to Buy Elisity | Stock Movers · 12 Oct, 14:57 UTCBloomberg Technology: IonQ to Buy Elisity for Up to $1.3 Billion to Bolster Cyber Unit · 12 Oct, 11:13 UTCQuartz: IonQ kauft das Cybersicherheitsunternehmen Elisity für bis zu 1,3 Milliarden US-Dollar. · 12 Oct, 11:40 UTCQuartz: IonQ is buying cybersecurity firm Elisity for up to $1.3 billion · 12 Oct, 11:40 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now8%
12 Oct, 12:05 UTC8%
11 Oct, 11:19 UTC12%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 12 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 12 October at 11:13 UTC; Quartz followed 27 min later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Technology, appeared on 12 October at 15:26 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), Quartz.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • IonQ — the market puts it at 8%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the U.S. federal government acquires any ownership stake in IonQ before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such stake occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the linked acquisition deal with Elisity for a government stake, but only federal government involvement counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on IonQ at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Bloomberg TechnologyIonQ to Buy Elisity for Up to $1.3 Billion to Bolster Cyber Unit12%
  2. QuartzIonQ kauft das Cybersicherheitsunternehmen Elisity für bis zu 1,3 Milliarden US-Dollar.12%
  3. QuartzIonQ is buying cybersecurity firm Elisity for up to $1.3 billion12%
  4. Bloomberg TechnologyT-Mobile Rises on Upgrade; IonQ to Buy Elisity | Stock Movers8%▼4 points since the previous source
  5. Bloomberg TechnologyIonQ's Biggest Move Yet: A $1.3B Security Acquisition8%
  6. Current odds8%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. IonQ's Biggest Move Yet: A $1.3B Security Acquisition Bloomberg Technology ·
  2. T-Mobile Rises on Upgrade; IonQ to Buy Elisity | Stock Movers Bloomberg Technology ·
  3. IonQ to Buy Elisity for Up to $1.3 Billion to Bolster Cyber Unit Bloomberg Technology ·
  4. IonQ kauft das Cybersicherheitsunternehmen Elisity für bis zu 1,3 Milliarden US-Dollar. Quartz
  5. IonQ is buying cybersecurity firm Elisity for up to $1.3 billion Quartz

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi IonQ 8% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • IonQ
  • Elisity
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