Indian Firm Essar Builds $15bn Steel Mill in US with Russian Ties
Essar is constructing the facility announced by Donald Trump, despite its history of using Russian capital to manage debts.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 14:21 UTC | 9% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 29 Sept 2026. Times of India published first, on 29 September at 06:15 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 8h 04m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 29 September at 14:19 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Times of India.
One prediction market prices this story:
- India — the market puts it at 9%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if a free trade deal with India becomes law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or via Congressional-Executive Agreement and Presidential signature before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if this does not happen by the deadline. Readers often mistake the signing of any agreement for the final resolution, but only enacted law counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi India 9%
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In this story
- Essar
- Donald Trump