Cyclone Arnab Kills Dozens in India, Forces Mass Evacuations
Cyclone Arnab has killed at least nine people and caused widespread destruction in Andhra Pradesh, prompting the evacuation of hundreds of thousands.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 27 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 16:36 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 14% |
| 6 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 13% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch India respond.
The story so far
9 publishers have covered this in 28 articles since 24 Oct 2026. Deutsche Welle published first, on 24 October at 04:56 UTC; Times of India followed 46h 45m later. The most recent article, from Fortune, appeared on 29 October at 22:52 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), Deutsche Welle, Times of India, Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories, South China Morning Post, France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo, Fortune.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- India — the market puts it at 16%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in India is officially reported after issuance and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about sexual violence protests as relevant, but only Ebola cases count.
- India — the market puts it at 1%, with $13 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if India records two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between January 1, 2024, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about opposition parties for the actual resolution criteria.
- By 2030 — the market puts it at 62%, with $144 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2031. The market resolves to Yes if India cuts the carbon emissions per unit of its GDP by at least 45% compared to 2005 levels by the year 2030. It resolves to No if that specific reduction target is not met within the deadline. Readers often mistake this for a total emissions cap rather than an intensity metric relative to economic output.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on India at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Deutsche WelleIndia news: Andhra, Odisha brace for severe storm9%
- Times of IndiaYellow alert for 2 Andhra districts today, red alert on Oct 27-28 amid Cyclone Arnab15%▲6 points since the previous source
- Times of IndiaWho named Cyclone Arnab and why? Where it will hit, states on alert & preparedness16%▲1 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIndia evacuates tens of thousands as ‘very severe’ Cyclone Arnab nears16%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesIndia braces for Cyclone Arnab with evacuations16%
- The New York TimesIndia Evacuates Tens of Thousands as Cyclone Arnab Approaches16%
- Times of IndiaCyclone Arnab: All IndiGo flights from Vijayawada cancelled on October 2816%
- ABC NewsIndia evacuates tens of thousands as Cyclone Arnab nears eastern coast16%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraCyclone Arnab batters India’s east coast16%
- Times of IndiaAviation ministry suspends ops at three Andhra airports as Cyclone Arnab intensifies16%
Show 18 later sources
- South China Morning Post100,000 evacuated in India as Cyclone Arnab makes landfall on southeast coast16%
- Times of IndiaWatch: High tides, uprooted trees as Cyclone Arnab makes landfall along Andhra coast16%
- Deutsche WelleIndia news: Cyclone Arnab turns deadly after landfall16%
- Deutsche WelleIndia news: Cyclone Arnab brings heavy rain, disruption16%
- ABC NewsCyclone Arnab hits India's Andhra Pradesh state as tens of thousands evacuate16%
- Times of IndiaCyclone Arnab: Over 50 trains, several flights cancelled; Andhra, Odisha worst-hit16%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraCyclone Arnab makes landfall in India’s Andhra Pradesh16%
- Times of IndiaMoon not visible on Karwa Chauth due to Cyclone Arnab? 3 ways to break your fast16%
- Times of IndiaNepal faces days of rain, snow and storms as Cyclone Arnab wreaks havoc in India16%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesCyclone eases after lashing India coast, no deaths reported16%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIndia: Over 180,000 evacuated on east coast as massive cyclone hits16%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraCyclone leaves trail of destruction in India as thousands evacuated16%
- ABC NewsIndia’s Cyclone Arnab brings high toll of extreme weather into focus16%
- Times of IndiaCyclone Arnab leaves trail of destruction in Andhra, 8 killed16%
- France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoCiclón Arnab golpea con fuerza: inundaciones y evacuaciones masivas en India16%
- Times of IndiaCyclone Arnab: Amit Shah speaks to four CMs, says relief operations on 'war footing'16%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPhotos: Aftermath of deadly Cyclone Arnab in southern India16%
- FortuneCyclone Arnab hits India’s data-center coast, where Google, Adani and Airtel plan to invest $15 billion in a hyperscale data center16%
- Current odds16%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Photos: Aftermath of deadly Cyclone Arnab in southern India Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- India’s Cyclone Arnab brings high toll of extreme weather into focus ABC News ·
- Cyclone leaves trail of destruction in India as thousands evacuated Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Cyclone Arnab makes landfall in India’s Andhra Pradesh Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Cyclone Arnab hits India's Andhra Pradesh state as tens of thousands evacuate ABC News ·
- Cyclone Arnab batters India’s east coast Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
Show 22 more sources
- India evacuates tens of thousands as Cyclone Arnab nears eastern coast ABC News ·
- India Evacuates Tens of Thousands as Cyclone Arnab Approaches The New York Times ·
- India evacuates tens of thousands as ‘very severe’ Cyclone Arnab nears Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Cyclone Arnab hits India’s data-center coast, where Google, Adani and Airtel plan to invest $15 billion in a hyperscale data center Fortune
- Cyclone Arnab: Amit Shah speaks to four CMs, says relief operations on 'war footing' Times of India
- Ciclón Arnab golpea con fuerza: inundaciones y evacuaciones masivas en India France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo
- Cyclone Arnab leaves trail of destruction in Andhra, 8 killed Times of India
- India: Over 180,000 evacuated on east coast as massive cyclone hits France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Cyclone eases after lashing India coast, no deaths reported Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Nepal faces days of rain, snow and storms as Cyclone Arnab wreaks havoc in India Times of India
- Moon not visible on Karwa Chauth due to Cyclone Arnab? 3 ways to break your fast Times of India
- Cyclone Arnab: Over 50 trains, several flights cancelled; Andhra, Odisha worst-hit Times of India
- India news: Cyclone Arnab turns deadly after landfall Deutsche Welle
- India news: Cyclone Arnab brings heavy rain, disruption Deutsche Welle
- Watch: High tides, uprooted trees as Cyclone Arnab makes landfall along Andhra coast Times of India
- 100,000 evacuated in India as Cyclone Arnab makes landfall on southeast coast South China Morning Post
- Aviation ministry suspends ops at three Andhra airports as Cyclone Arnab intensifies Times of India
- Cyclone Arnab: All IndiGo flights from Vijayawada cancelled on October 28 Times of India
- India braces for Cyclone Arnab with evacuations Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Who named Cyclone Arnab and why? Where it will hit, states on alert & preparedness Times of India
- Yellow alert for 2 Andhra districts today, red alert on Oct 27-28 amid Cyclone Arnab Times of India
- India news: Andhra, Odisha brace for severe storm Deutsche Welle
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi India 16%
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- Kalshi India 1% −4
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- Kalshi By 2030 62% −8
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In this story
- Cyclone Arnab
- India
- Andhra Pradesh
- Amit Shah
- Nara Chandrababu Naidu