House GOP to hold leadership elections a week after Election Day
Republican lawmakers will vote for their top positions on November 10 following a candidate forum.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 13:40 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 07:55 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 02:44 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 17:41 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 16:42 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 15:19 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 14:03 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 02:44 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 00:48 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 23:36 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 15:31 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 10:57 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 09:01 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 08:32 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 01:03 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 22:35 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 04:14 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 22:40 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 10:20 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 03:07 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 02:51 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 05:07 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 08:43 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 26 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 26 October at 23:48 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Republican Party — resolved “No” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Republicans lose their majority in the U.S. House of Representatives between now and November 3, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline, but only the official election results after November 3, 2026, determine the resolution.
- Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if between four and six Republican House incumbents fail to win their primary elections between March 1 and September 30, 2026. The No outcome applies if fewer than four or more than six such incumbents lose their races.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Republican Party No 4d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 3d ago
Wrong market?
In this story
- House Republicans
- Politico