Hillier Wins BMW SUV With Hole-in-One at Spanish Open
Daniel Hillier aced the 17th hole to claim a BMW iX5 valued at 140,338 euros.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 01:34 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 01:10 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 13:14 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 05:59 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 00:46 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 00:46 UTC | 2% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Daniel Hillier respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 8 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 8 October at 18:59 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 1 min later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 9 October at 07:51 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), feeds.bleacherreport.com, SkySports.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Daniel Hillier — resolved “No” on 11 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Daniel Hillier wins the Open de España presented by Madrid. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake any other golf victory for a win in this event.
- Daniel Hillier — resolved “No” on 8 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Daniel Hillier at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- www.espn.comHillier wins electric BMW SUV with hole-in-one at Spanish Open3%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comWatch Pro Golfer Win BMW iX5 with Hole-in-1 on Video at DP World Tour Event3%
- SkySportsHillier hits stunning ace at Open de Espana!9%▲6 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Daniel Hillier No 27d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Daniel Hillier No 30d ago
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Daniel Hillier
- Spanish Open
- BMW