Daniel Hillier
Implied probability 2%−6
24-hour volume$32k
Total volume$157k
Liquidity$157k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 13:14 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 05:59 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 00:46 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 00:46 UTC | 2% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Daniel Hillier wins the Open de España presented by Madrid. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake any other golf victory for a win in this event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 99%