Greece stun Germany in Nations League as Gakpo hurt in Dutch win
Greece defeat hosts Germany to top their group while the Netherlands beat Serbia and Portugal edge past Norway.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 30% |
| 1 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 46% |
| 1 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 00:08 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Sept, 00:03 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 22:10 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Sept, 20:34 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Sept, 08:20 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 22:13 UTC | 63% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 27 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 27 September at 01:00 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 21h 04m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 27 September at 22:03 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Netherlands — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Netherlands wins the UEFA Nations League match against Greece after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result depends solely on the score at the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistake the final tournament winner for the resolution criteria, but only this specific game's 90-minute outcome matters.
- Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Greece wins the match scheduled for October 1, 2026, based solely on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The outcome depends on the official final score recognized by the governing body, with secondary data sources used only if official statistics are not published within two hours.
- Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? — resolved “Yes” on 1 Oct 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if Germany wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on October 1, 2026. It resolves to "No" if Germany does not win, including draws or losses, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the source of truth by relying on live scores rather than the official final result recognized by the governing body.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Netherlands No 36d ago
The market favoured No at 53% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? No 36d ago
The market favoured No at 73% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? Yes 36d ago
The market favoured Yes at 80% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Jürgen Klopp
- Germany
- Greece
- Netherlands
- Serbia
- Portugal