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Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?

Implied probability 83%+4
24-hour volume$153k
Total volume$168k
Liquidity$447k
Resolves1 Oct 2026

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What counts

The market resolves to "Yes" if Germany wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on October 1, 2026. It resolves to "No" if Germany does not win, including draws or losses, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the source of truth by relying on live scores rather than the official final result recognized by the governing body.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 83%
  • No 18%

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