GOP Hold on South Carolina Senate Seat Slips to Likely Republican
The Cook Political Report reclassified the race favoring Sen. Darline Graham from solid Republican to likely Republican.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 20:41 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 13:55 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 06:08 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 05:32 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 04:08 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 20:51 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 20:08 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 16:42 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 15:11 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 12:12 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 06:35 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 06:14 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Nov, 22:39 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Nov, 13:54 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Nov, 12:55 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Nov, 11:33 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Nov, 11:26 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Nov, 05:33 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Nov, 04:50 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Nov, 03:47 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 08:49 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 15:06 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 17:26 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 16:50 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 11:47 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 10:41 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 03:07 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 01:09 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 17:47 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 76% |
| 28 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 77% |
| 28 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 78% |
| 28 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 77% |
| 28 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 78% |
| 28 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 77% |
| 28 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 78% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 78% |
| 28 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 78% |
| 28 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 77% |
| 28 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Oct, 03:59 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Oct, 00:31 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 04:04 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 22:06 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 80% |
| 25 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 80% |
| 24 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 79% |
| 24 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 79% |
| 24 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 79% |
| 24 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 80% |
| 24 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 79% |
| 24 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 80% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 80% |
| 24 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 81% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 80% |
| 24 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 78% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 80% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 79% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 80% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 78% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 80% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 77% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 78% |
| 23 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 79% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 83% |
| 23 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 81% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 81% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 81% |
| 22 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 17:02 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 16:12 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 81% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 81% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 83% |
| 22 Oct, 00:31 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 11:38 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 81% |
| 21 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 82% |
| 20 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 82% |
| 20 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Oct, 16:27 UTC | 82% |
| 20 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Oct, 09:32 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 82% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 84% |
| 19 Oct, 01:05 UTC | 83% |
| 19 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 82% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 83% |
| 18 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 82% |
| 18 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 83% |
| 18 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 82% |
| 18 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 83% |
| 18 Oct, 07:35 UTC | 82% |
| 18 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 83% |
| 18 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 82% |
| 18 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 83% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 82% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 83% |
| 17 Oct, 21:32 UTC | 85% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 84% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 85% |
| 17 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 84% |
| 17 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 85% |
| 17 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 84% |
| 17 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 86% |
| 17 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 84% |
| 17 Oct, 02:17 UTC | 86% |
| 17 Oct, 01:30 UTC | 85% |
| 17 Oct, 00:31 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 85% |
| 16 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 85% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 85% |
| 15 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 85% |
| 15 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 85% |
| 15 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 85% |
| 15 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Oct, 17:32 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Oct, 07:30 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 86% |
| 12 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 86% |
| 12 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 86% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 86% |
| 12 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 86% |
| 12 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 85% |
| 12 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 86% |
| 12 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 85% |
| 12 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 86% |
| 12 Oct, 11:39 UTC | 85% |
| 12 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 86% |
| 12 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 86% |
| 12 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 85% |
| 12 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 23:37 UTC | 85% |
| 11 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 85% |
| 11 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 85% |
| 11 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 17:48 UTC | 85% |
| 11 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 85% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 85% |
| 11 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 87% |
| 11 Oct, 02:18 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 86% |
| 10 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 86% |
| 10 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 86% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Oct, 12:27 UTC | 86% |
| 10 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 86% |
| 10 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 12:02 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 87% |
| 8 Oct, 01:01 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 87% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 87% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 87% |
| 7 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 87% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 87% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 86% |
| 6 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 87% |
| 6 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 86% |
| 6 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 19:35 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Oct, 13:32 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Oct, 03:40 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Oct, 00:08 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 87% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 86% |
| 2 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 85% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 86% |
| 2 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 85% |
| 2 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 87% |
| 2 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 88% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 87% |
| 2 Oct, 07:22 UTC | 88% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 87% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 88% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 88% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 88% |
| 29 Sept, 17:49 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 87% |
| 28 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 04:46 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Sept, 21:37 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Sept, 17:38 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 12:01 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Sept, 05:05 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 22:06 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 21:49 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 20:12 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 03:16 UTC | 87% |
| 25 Sept, 22:09 UTC | 86% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Sept, 21:53 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Sept, 17:02 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Sept, 16:33 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Sept, 13:03 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Sept, 02:12 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Sept, 01:21 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Sept, 23:48 UTC | 86% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 86% |
| 23 Sept, 16:35 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 86% |
| 22 Sept, 15:41 UTC | 87% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Sept 2026. Washington Post published first, on 23 September at 16:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Darline Graham — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from South Carolina for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No if any other candidate takes that specific seat. Readers often mistake the election result for the resolution trigger, but only the official swearing-in matters.
- Graham, 5+ pts — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Republican candidate wins the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by a margin of at least 5 percentage points. The outcome is No if the Republican candidate wins by less than 5 percentage points or loses the election. Readers often mistake the required margin, thinking any Republican victory counts rather than specifically a win of 5 points or more.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Darline Graham No 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 67% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Graham, 5+ pts No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 73% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Cook Political Report
- Darline Graham