Darline Graham
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from South Carolina for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No if any other candidate takes that specific seat. Readers often mistake the election result for the resolution trigger, but only the official swearing-in matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%