Georgia Shatters Day-One Early Voting Record for Midterm Election
More than 188,000 ballots were cast on the first day of early voting, surpassing the previous midterm record by over 50,000 votes.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 63% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Nov, 23:16 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 76% |
| 30 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 77% |
| 28 Oct, 12:12 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 52% |
| 24 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 88% |
| 21 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 61% |
| 15 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 82% |
| 15 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 56% |
| 13 Oct, 16:31 UTC | 51% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 14 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 14 October at 16:31 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 18h 48m later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 15 October at 11:19 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Above 4.1M — the market puts it at 94%, with $435 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is "Yes" if the total number of votes cast in the Georgia Governor General Election exceeds 4,100,000. The outcome is "No" if the total vote count is 4,100,000 or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the vote count must be finalized, but the resolution depends solely on the final official total.
- Governor — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a candidate wins more than 50% of the vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial general election. This outcome eliminates all runoffs and instant-runoff tabulations. Readers often mistake early voting totals for final results, but only the official certified winner after Election Day counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Above 4.1M 94% +31
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Governor Yes 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Georgia
- Georgia Secretary of State