Governor
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$23k
Liquidity$23k
Resolved3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 02:34 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 00:15 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 90% |
| 3 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 18:21 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Nov, 22:17 UTC | 91% |
| 2 Nov, 18:49 UTC | 89% |
| 2 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 89% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 88% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Nov, 20:57 UTC | 86% |
| 1 Nov, 07:52 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 91% |
| 31 Oct, 21:39 UTC | 91% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 06:35 UTC | 96% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 92% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a candidate wins more than 50% of the vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial general election. This outcome eliminates all runoffs and instant-runoff tabulations. Readers often mistake early voting totals for final results, but only the official certified winner after Election Day counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%