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Football news: Manchester United updates and Brazil World Cup preparations

Coverage includes weekend Premier League guides, Manchester United updates, and analysis of Brazil's political dysfunction ahead of the Women's World Cup.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 23 Oct 2026 · updated 15d ago

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
0%50%100%100%6 Oct, 11:59 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Manchester United latest, European reaction and more: football news – live · 23 Oct, 08:14 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
26 Oct, 03:06 UTC100%
26 Oct, 02:41 UTC100%
26 Oct, 02:27 UTC100%
26 Oct, 00:54 UTC100%
25 Oct, 23:35 UTC96%
25 Oct, 23:25 UTC84%
25 Oct, 22:54 UTC86%
25 Oct, 22:20 UTC96%
25 Oct, 21:57 UTC96%
25 Oct, 21:29 UTC96%
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25 Oct, 20:26 UTC97%
25 Oct, 19:46 UTC97%
25 Oct, 19:25 UTC96%
25 Oct, 18:57 UTC97%
25 Oct, 18:18 UTC97%
25 Oct, 17:56 UTC97%
25 Oct, 17:17 UTC93%
25 Oct, 16:28 UTC90%
25 Oct, 15:46 UTC85%
25 Oct, 15:25 UTC85%
25 Oct, 14:27 UTC85%
25 Oct, 13:49 UTC86%
25 Oct, 13:17 UTC86%
25 Oct, 12:49 UTC86%
25 Oct, 12:10 UTC86%
25 Oct, 11:56 UTC84%
25 Oct, 11:14 UTC86%
25 Oct, 10:49 UTC85%
25 Oct, 10:13 UTC88%
25 Oct, 09:28 UTC88%
25 Oct, 08:53 UTC88%
25 Oct, 07:39 UTC86%
25 Oct, 07:25 UTC85%
25 Oct, 06:48 UTC85%
25 Oct, 06:19 UTC84%
25 Oct, 05:57 UTC84%
25 Oct, 05:24 UTC82%
25 Oct, 04:36 UTC80%
25 Oct, 04:05 UTC80%
25 Oct, 03:44 UTC79%
25 Oct, 03:23 UTC79%
25 Oct, 02:35 UTC79%
25 Oct, 02:14 UTC78%
25 Oct, 01:08 UTC81%
25 Oct, 00:58 UTC81%
24 Oct, 23:48 UTC82%
24 Oct, 23:19 UTC81%
24 Oct, 22:51 UTC84%
24 Oct, 22:26 UTC82%
24 Oct, 21:58 UTC83%
24 Oct, 21:19 UTC83%
24 Oct, 20:51 UTC81%
24 Oct, 20:23 UTC81%
24 Oct, 19:09 UTC76%
24 Oct, 18:50 UTC76%
24 Oct, 18:22 UTC76%
24 Oct, 17:54 UTC78%
24 Oct, 17:15 UTC77%
24 Oct, 11:43 UTC76%
24 Oct, 09:29 UTC75%
24 Oct, 08:23 UTC76%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC75%
24 Oct, 03:30 UTC76%
23 Oct, 23:57 UTC76%
23 Oct, 23:03 UTC75%
23 Oct, 22:49 UTC76%
23 Oct, 20:49 UTC75%
23 Oct, 20:28 UTC75%
23 Oct, 19:27 UTC74%
23 Oct, 18:56 UTC76%
23 Oct, 18:22 UTC77%
23 Oct, 17:04 UTC77%
23 Oct, 16:57 UTC77%
23 Oct, 16:15 UTC77%
23 Oct, 15:41 UTC77%
23 Oct, 15:20 UTC79%
23 Oct, 14:59 UTC78%
23 Oct, 13:37 UTC75%
23 Oct, 06:59 UTC74%
22 Oct, 19:23 UTC74%
22 Oct, 16:19 UTC73%
22 Oct, 15:43 UTC73%
22 Oct, 13:56 UTC73%
22 Oct, 12:14 UTC72%
22 Oct, 11:53 UTC71%
22 Oct, 11:15 UTC72%
22 Oct, 10:53 UTC72%
22 Oct, 09:33 UTC72%
22 Oct, 09:11 UTC72%
22 Oct, 08:53 UTC73%
22 Oct, 08:29 UTC72%
22 Oct, 06:08 UTC74%
22 Oct, 05:53 UTC73%
22 Oct, 04:34 UTC72%
22 Oct, 03:45 UTC71%
22 Oct, 02:54 UTC71%
22 Oct, 02:12 UTC71%
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22 Oct, 01:29 UTC70%
22 Oct, 00:59 UTC69%
22 Oct, 00:24 UTC69%
21 Oct, 23:49 UTC70%
21 Oct, 23:00 UTC69%
21 Oct, 22:17 UTC70%
21 Oct, 19:10 UTC69%
21 Oct, 18:41 UTC70%
21 Oct, 14:32 UTC70%
15 Oct, 07:55 UTC68%
15 Oct, 05:02 UTC67%
15 Oct, 03:10 UTC67%
8 Oct, 14:23 UTC68%
8 Oct, 13:59 UTC67%
8 Oct, 11:46 UTC66%
8 Oct, 10:30 UTC65%
8 Oct, 10:23 UTC69%
8 Oct, 09:59 UTC68%
8 Oct, 08:42 UTC63%
8 Oct, 01:55 UTC62%
8 Oct, 00:41 UTC63%
8 Oct, 00:21 UTC62%
7 Oct, 21:58 UTC61%
7 Oct, 21:18 UTC62%
7 Oct, 20:36 UTC62%
7 Oct, 20:22 UTC63%
7 Oct, 19:49 UTC64%
7 Oct, 19:27 UTC64%
7 Oct, 18:20 UTC63%
7 Oct, 17:59 UTC65%
7 Oct, 17:23 UTC64%
7 Oct, 16:55 UTC64%
7 Oct, 16:08 UTC61%
7 Oct, 15:24 UTC61%
7 Oct, 14:55 UTC61%
7 Oct, 14:26 UTC62%
7 Oct, 13:51 UTC60%
7 Oct, 13:05 UTC61%
7 Oct, 11:59 UTC60%
6 Oct, 11:59 UTC50%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 23 October at 08:14 UTC.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? — resolved “Yes” on 26 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Lula receives more valid votes from voters outside Brazil than any other candidate in the second round of the election. The No outcome applies if another candidate gets the most votes abroad or if the results are not finalized by June 30, 2027. Readers often mistake the source of truth; only official data from the Superior Electoral Court counts, not preliminary reports or media estimates.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Manchester United latest, European reaction and more: football news – live The Guardian Sport ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? Yes 12d ago

    The market favoured Yes at 84% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

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