Florida GOP Candidate Byron Donalds Courts Black Voters
Byron Donalds seeks to win over skeptical Black voters in his bid for Florida governor, aiming to surpass the outreach efforts of Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 65% |
| 3 Nov, 18:21 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Nov, 17:10 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 55% |
| 1 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 68% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 75% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 79% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 76% |
| 14 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 68% |
| 13 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 65% |
| 6 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 75% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 5 October at 00:44 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- At least 50% — the market puts it at 73%, with $676 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Byron Donalds receives at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if he receives less than 50%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day rather than the date the results are officially certified.
- Byron Donalds — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Byron Donalds wins the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election and is inaugurated as governor. It resolves to No if he does not win or is not inaugurated. Readers often mistake campaign activity, such as removing mentions from a website, for the final outcome rather than waiting for the official inauguration.
- Byron Donalds — the market puts it at 1%, with $11k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Byron Donalds wins the Republican presidential nomination in 2028 and accepts it. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept the nomination by that time. Readers often mistake winning a primary for winning the general election, but only securing the party's nomination counts here.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi At least 50% 73% +22
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Byron Donalds Yes 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 63% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Byron Donalds 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Byron Donalds
- Donald Trump
- DeSantis