Byron Donalds
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$115k
Total volume$2.0M
Liquidity$2.0M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Byron Donalds wins the Republican presidential nomination in 2028 and accepts it. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept the nomination by that time. Readers often mistake winning a primary for winning the general election, but only securing the party's nomination counts here.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%