Indonesia and Singapore Form Task Force to Combat Toxic Haze
The two nations establish a joint task force to tackle illegal land burning, while Indonesia reduces gas exports to Singapore for domestic energy security.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 16 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
15 publishers have covered this in 103 articles since 6 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 6 October at 13:57 UTC; News - South China Morning Post followed 25h 03m later. The most recent article, from Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories, appeared on 30 October at 09:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Climate (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), South China Morning Post, BBC Science, Deutsche Welle, Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories, Latest articles, Sky News and 3 more, all listed under Sources below.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Indonesia — the market puts it at 5%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Israel and Indonesia establish formal diplomatic ties before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a religious body's opposition as the deciding factor, but only official diplomatic normalization counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Indonesia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian SportF1 drivers face ‘unhealthy’ Singapore air as ‘super’ El Niño fuels wildfire haze—
- News - South China Morning PostSingapore’s air pollution worst in world as haze shuts Malaysia schools—
- BBC NewsHow toxic haze is causing Singapore’s landmarks to disappear—
- South China Morning PostHaze not ‘a threat’ to Singapore Formula 1 race, but entertainment activities may be curbed—
- News FeedSingapore gears up for smog-choked Grand Prix—
- Deutsche WelleMalaysia shuts schools amid toxic haze from Indonesian fires—
- Bloomberg MarketsSingapore Race Will Go Ahead Despite Haze: Formula 1 CEO—
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesMalaysia closes schools in capital, parts of country due to haze—
- BBC NewsWhy is it so hard to put out Indonesian fires shrouding the region in toxic smog?—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraMalaysia shuts schools as haze from Indonesian fires chokes Southeast Asia—
Show 93 later sources
- News - South China Morning PostMalaysia urged to police its firms in Indonesia as haze shuts schools—
- Bloomberg MarketsSingapore F1 Race Draws Near-Record Turnout Despite Choking Haze—
- South China Morning PostSingapore tops global air pollution ranks again, rolls out haze subsidies—
- South China Morning PostSmokescreen politics? Malaysians mock Indonesian official’s ‘we send oxygen’ haze defence—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraMalaysia’s Firefly cancels flights to Singapore over transboundary haze—
- South China Morning PostIs Indonesia’s haze rhetoric ‘unempathetic’? Oxygen quip tests regional cooperation—
- The GuardianIndonesia wildfire fuelled by El Niño razes 300 homes5%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesDamaged and drained, Indonesia's peatlands go up in smoke5%
- News - South China Morning PostSmart economics: tackle climate change and air pollution together5%
- BBC NewsWho's to blame for the toxic smog choking South East Asia?5%
- Latest articlesSingapore can fix Southeast Asia’s haze, if it wants to5%
- News - South China Morning PostCloudy outlook? How haze crisis is testing Singapore’s events economy5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraSky turns orange as wildfires rage across Indonesia5%
- News - South China Morning PostSingapore open to legal action against errant firms as haze crisis worsens5%
- BBC ScienceWatch: Orange haze blankets Indonesia's Kalimantan region5%
- The GuardianIndonesia fights fire with dry ice as toxic haze spreads across region5%
- News - South China Morning PostIndonesians urge Singapore, Malaysia to sue Jakarta as haze blankets region5%
- Sky NewsEerie orange smog shrouds Indonesian cities5%
- Bloomberg.comSingapore, Malaysia Face Haze and Smog as Indonesia Wildfires Burn: Live Q&A5%
- Latest articlesHaze turns Indonesia skies orange, shuts schools in East Timor5%
- South China Morning PostSingapore weighs legal action against companies over worsening transboundary haze5%
- Latest articlesSingapore probing firms over haze-causing Indonesian fires5%
- News - South China Morning PostAnwar says Malaysia has done ‘everything we can’ against haze. Critics say it can do more5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraFour killed as Indonesia battles worst forest fires in more than a decade5%
- News - South China Morning PostIndonesian governor’s Singapore trip adds fury to forest fire, haze crisis5%
- News - South China Morning PostHaze-hit Singapore parents call for Hong Kong-style school air con5%
- All Content from Business InsiderSingapore's iconic skyline is shrouded in a fire-related haze. Here's what it looks like across the island.5%
- Deutsche WelleWildfire kills 4 firefighters in Indonesia's Mount Bromo national park5%
- The Guardian Business‘Clean air is not a favour’: Indonesia’s neighbours fed up with acrid haze as Singapore threatens to prosecute5%
- News - South China Morning PostSingapore targets 7 companies over wildfires in Indonesia as toxic haze worsens5%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIndonesia's forest fires spark public health crisis across Southeast Asia5%
- Bloomberg.comSingapore Hit By Haze From Wildfires Choking Southeast Asia5%
- South China Morning PostAsean climate monitor issues highest alert level over toxic haze5%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMonths-long Indonesia wildfires spew toxic haze across Southeast Asia5%
- South China Morning PostMad rush for oxygen tanks, air purifiers in haze-choked Southeast Asia5%
- BBC ScienceBBC visits wildfire front in haze-choked Indonesia5%
- Latest articlesEl Nino-powered drought leaves Indonesian palm farmers high and dry as river recedes5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIndonesia battles worst forest fires and toxic haze in 11 years5%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesIndonesia fires have burned nearly 2 million hectares: Monitor5%
- Fortune‘They may think that they can escape scrutiny’: Singapore cracks down on Indonesian companies spreading ‘entirely preventable’ smog across the border5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraSoutheast Asia’s haze crisis will persist until polluters pay5%
- South China Morning PostIndonesia backtracks on foreign aid to fight toxic haze choking Southeast Asia5%
- South China Morning PostCalls to sue Indonesia over haze; Pinduoduo craze sweeps Malaysia: 7 Asia highlights5%
- News - South China Morning PostIn Malaysia, viral air purifier test fans flames of anger over haze5%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIndonesia continues to battle wildfires, with nearly 2 million hectares burned5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIndonesians protest over land-clearing fires5%
- BBC NewsBorneo burning: Life on the frontline of South East Asia's toxic haze5%
- News - South China Morning PostDoes Singapore’s tougher stance on haze mark an inflection point?5%
- BBC ScienceWhy is a peat fire so bad? BBC is in Indonesia to find out5%
- South China Morning PostPrabowo warns regional critics Indonesia won’t be ‘insulted’ over haze5%
- The New York TimesProtests in Indonesia Demand Action to Stop Rainforest Fires5%
- South China Morning PostHaze forces Malaysian fitness groups to swap outdoor runs for shopping mall laps5%
- South China Morning PostIndonesians turn to eco-art as haze sparks anger and diplomatic tension5%
- South China Morning PostIndonesia haze: why Jakarta won’t declare wildfires a national disaster5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraSoutheast Asia’s toxic haze spurs calls for legal action against polluters5%
- The Guardian ClimateIndonesian students clash with police as protests over toxic haze escalate – video5%
- News FeedSingapore goes after companies over toxic haze5%
- News - South China Morning PostIndonesian wildfires threaten world’s oldest cave paintings in Sulawesi5%
- South China Morning PostWhat Indonesia’s warnings of energy cuts mean for Asean5%
- ABC NewsSoutheast Asia's worst haze in over a decade sparks student protests5%
- Bloomberg MarketsSingapore Expands Haze Investigation to 10 Locally Based Firms5%
- Bloomberg MarketsIndonesia Begins Trimming Pipeline Gas Exports to Singapore5%
- News - South China Morning PostIndonesia cuts gas to Singapore amid Borneo, Sumatra wildfire haze5%
- South China Morning PostSingapore tells suppliers to ‘honour commitments’ amid Indonesia’s gas cut5%
- News - South China Morning PostSingapore’s toxic haze probe expands to 10 palm oil, forestry firms5%
- FortuneSingapore urges suppliers to ‘honor commitments’, as Indonesia slashes gas exports to the country by 9%5%
- News - South China Morning PostIndonesia defends Singapore gas cuts, cites rising domestic needs and contractual limits5%
- Latest articlesEl Nino fires test limits of Southeast Asia’s cloud-seeding bet5%
- Latest articlesBorneo struggles to breathe as wildfires fill the air with toxic smog5%
- South China Morning PostSolution to Asean haze starts with helping oil palm smallholders5%
- Bloomberg MarketsWhy Indonesia Is Reducing Gas Exports to Singapore5%
- South China Morning PostIndonesia’s oxygen bus offers breather to residents choking on toxic haze5%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesGasping for air: Borneo residents struggle as island burns5%
- South China Morning PostSingapore, Indonesia plan to create haze task force, share data amid tensions5%
- ABC NewsSingapore and Indonesia set up a task force to combat haze from illegal burning5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraRain brings temporary relief as Southeast Asia battles fires and toxic haze5%
- News - South China Morning PostIndonesia deploys hundreds of security staff ahead of Jakarta student protests5%
- South China Morning PostRunners swap streets for shopping malls as haze chokes Singapore5%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesIndonesia's El Niño–driven peat fires are choking the region—and releasing centuries of stored carbon5%
- News - South China Morning Post‘Not to find scapegoats’: Singapore ministers summon bosses of 10 firms over haze5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIndonesian students demand action on wildfires and rising costs5%
- News - South China Morning PostIndonesia haze cost Malaysia US$1.97 billion in losses: study5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIndonesians share impact of haze on their livelihoods5%
- News - South China Morning PostSingapore wields ‘quiet diplomacy’ in minister’s surprise visit to Indonesia amid haze tensions5%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesRains bring relief to Indonesian city weary of fire haze5%
- BBC ScienceFirefighters celebrate rain during Indonesia wildfires5%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesBorneo's wildfires could have a lasting impact on orangutans5%
- Latest articlesIndonesia rain set to ease toxic haze in Singapore and Malaysia5%
- South China Morning PostSingapore adds muscle to expert panel as probe into haze-linked firms gains speed5%
- South China Morning PostIndonesia’s wildfire smoke crisis claims over 3,500 lives in September5%
- Latest articlesFire pollution killed 3,560 people in Indonesia in September, report says5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraSmoke from wildfires killed 3,500 people in Indonesia in September: Report5%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesFire pollution killed 3,560 people in Indonesia in September: Report5%
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Smoke from wildfires killed 3,500 people in Indonesia in September: Report Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Indonesians share impact of haze on their livelihoods Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Indonesian students demand action on wildfires and rising costs Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Rain brings temporary relief as Southeast Asia battles fires and toxic haze Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Singapore and Indonesia set up a task force to combat haze from illegal burning ABC News ·
- Why Indonesia Is Reducing Gas Exports to Singapore Bloomberg Markets ·
Show 97 more sources
- Indonesia Begins Trimming Pipeline Gas Exports to Singapore Bloomberg Markets ·
- Singapore Expands Haze Investigation to 10 Locally Based Firms Bloomberg Markets ·
- Southeast Asia's worst haze in over a decade sparks student protests ABC News ·
- Singapore goes after companies over toxic haze News Feed ·
- Indonesian students clash with police as protests over toxic haze escalate – video The Guardian Climate ·
- Southeast Asia’s toxic haze spurs calls for legal action against polluters Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Protests in Indonesia Demand Action to Stop Rainforest Fires The New York Times ·
- Indonesians protest over land-clearing fires Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Southeast Asia’s haze crisis will persist until polluters pay Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Indonesia battles worst forest fires and toxic haze in 11 years Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Singapore Hit By Haze From Wildfires Choking Southeast Asia Bloomberg.com ·
- ‘Clean air is not a favour’: Indonesia’s neighbours fed up with acrid haze as Singapore threatens to prosecute The Guardian Business ·
- Four killed as Indonesia battles worst forest fires in more than a decade Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Singapore, Malaysia Face Haze and Smog as Indonesia Wildfires Burn: Live Q&A Bloomberg.com ·
- Indonesia fights fire with dry ice as toxic haze spreads across region The Guardian ·
- Sky turns orange as wildfires rage across Indonesia Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Indonesia wildfire fuelled by El Niño razes 300 homes The Guardian ·
- Malaysia’s Firefly cancels flights to Singapore over transboundary haze Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Singapore F1 Race Draws Near-Record Turnout Despite Choking Haze Bloomberg Markets ·
- Malaysia shuts schools as haze from Indonesian fires chokes Southeast Asia Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Singapore Race Will Go Ahead Despite Haze: Formula 1 CEO Bloomberg Markets ·
- Singapore gears up for smog-choked Grand Prix News Feed ·
- F1 drivers face ‘unhealthy’ Singapore air as ‘super’ El Niño fuels wildfire haze The Guardian Sport ·
- Fire pollution killed 3,560 people in Indonesia in September: Report Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Fire pollution killed 3,560 people in Indonesia in September, report says Latest articles
- Indonesia’s wildfire smoke crisis claims over 3,500 lives in September South China Morning Post
- Singapore adds muscle to expert panel as probe into haze-linked firms gains speed South China Morning Post
- Indonesia rain set to ease toxic haze in Singapore and Malaysia Latest articles
- Borneo's wildfires could have a lasting impact on orangutans Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Firefighters celebrate rain during Indonesia wildfires BBC Science
- Rains bring relief to Indonesian city weary of fire haze Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Singapore wields ‘quiet diplomacy’ in minister’s surprise visit to Indonesia amid haze tensions News - South China Morning Post
- Indonesia haze cost Malaysia US$1.97 billion in losses: study News - South China Morning Post
- ‘Not to find scapegoats’: Singapore ministers summon bosses of 10 firms over haze News - South China Morning Post
- Indonesia's El Niño–driven peat fires are choking the region—and releasing centuries of stored carbon Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Runners swap streets for shopping malls as haze chokes Singapore South China Morning Post
- Indonesia deploys hundreds of security staff ahead of Jakarta student protests News - South China Morning Post
- Singapore, Indonesia plan to create haze task force, share data amid tensions South China Morning Post
- Gasping for air: Borneo residents struggle as island burns Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Indonesia’s oxygen bus offers breather to residents choking on toxic haze South China Morning Post
- Solution to Asean haze starts with helping oil palm smallholders South China Morning Post
- Borneo struggles to breathe as wildfires fill the air with toxic smog Latest articles
- El Nino fires test limits of Southeast Asia’s cloud-seeding bet Latest articles
- Indonesia defends Singapore gas cuts, cites rising domestic needs and contractual limits News - South China Morning Post
- Singapore urges suppliers to ‘honor commitments’, as Indonesia slashes gas exports to the country by 9% Fortune
- Singapore’s toxic haze probe expands to 10 palm oil, forestry firms News - South China Morning Post
- Singapore tells suppliers to ‘honour commitments’ amid Indonesia’s gas cut South China Morning Post
- Indonesia cuts gas to Singapore amid Borneo, Sumatra wildfire haze News - South China Morning Post
- What Indonesia’s warnings of energy cuts mean for Asean South China Morning Post
- Indonesian wildfires threaten world’s oldest cave paintings in Sulawesi News - South China Morning Post
- Indonesia haze: why Jakarta won’t declare wildfires a national disaster South China Morning Post
- Indonesians turn to eco-art as haze sparks anger and diplomatic tension South China Morning Post
- Haze forces Malaysian fitness groups to swap outdoor runs for shopping mall laps South China Morning Post
- Prabowo warns regional critics Indonesia won’t be ‘insulted’ over haze South China Morning Post
- Why is a peat fire so bad? BBC is in Indonesia to find out BBC Science
- Does Singapore’s tougher stance on haze mark an inflection point? News - South China Morning Post
- Borneo burning: Life on the frontline of South East Asia's toxic haze BBC News
- Indonesia continues to battle wildfires, with nearly 2 million hectares burned France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- In Malaysia, viral air purifier test fans flames of anger over haze News - South China Morning Post
- Calls to sue Indonesia over haze; Pinduoduo craze sweeps Malaysia: 7 Asia highlights South China Morning Post
- Indonesia backtracks on foreign aid to fight toxic haze choking Southeast Asia South China Morning Post
- ‘They may think that they can escape scrutiny’: Singapore cracks down on Indonesian companies spreading ‘entirely preventable’ smog across the border Fortune
- Indonesia fires have burned nearly 2 million hectares: Monitor Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- El Nino-powered drought leaves Indonesian palm farmers high and dry as river recedes Latest articles
- BBC visits wildfire front in haze-choked Indonesia BBC Science
- Mad rush for oxygen tanks, air purifiers in haze-choked Southeast Asia South China Morning Post
- Months-long Indonesia wildfires spew toxic haze across Southeast Asia France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Asean climate monitor issues highest alert level over toxic haze South China Morning Post
- Indonesia's forest fires spark public health crisis across Southeast Asia France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Singapore targets 7 companies over wildfires in Indonesia as toxic haze worsens News - South China Morning Post
- Wildfire kills 4 firefighters in Indonesia's Mount Bromo national park Deutsche Welle
- Singapore's iconic skyline is shrouded in a fire-related haze. Here's what it looks like across the island. All Content from Business Insider
- Haze-hit Singapore parents call for Hong Kong-style school air con News - South China Morning Post
- Indonesian governor’s Singapore trip adds fury to forest fire, haze crisis News - South China Morning Post
- Anwar says Malaysia has done ‘everything we can’ against haze. Critics say it can do more News - South China Morning Post
- Singapore probing firms over haze-causing Indonesian fires Latest articles
- Singapore weighs legal action against companies over worsening transboundary haze South China Morning Post
- Haze turns Indonesia skies orange, shuts schools in East Timor Latest articles
- Eerie orange smog shrouds Indonesian cities Sky News
- Indonesians urge Singapore, Malaysia to sue Jakarta as haze blankets region News - South China Morning Post
- Watch: Orange haze blankets Indonesia's Kalimantan region BBC Science
- Singapore open to legal action against errant firms as haze crisis worsens News - South China Morning Post
- Cloudy outlook? How haze crisis is testing Singapore’s events economy News - South China Morning Post
- Singapore can fix Southeast Asia’s haze, if it wants to Latest articles
- Who's to blame for the toxic smog choking South East Asia? BBC News
- Smart economics: tackle climate change and air pollution together News - South China Morning Post
- Damaged and drained, Indonesia's peatlands go up in smoke Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Is Indonesia’s haze rhetoric ‘unempathetic’? Oxygen quip tests regional cooperation South China Morning Post
- Smokescreen politics? Malaysians mock Indonesian official’s ‘we send oxygen’ haze defence South China Morning Post
- Singapore tops global air pollution ranks again, rolls out haze subsidies South China Morning Post
- Malaysia urged to police its firms in Indonesia as haze shuts schools News - South China Morning Post
- Why is it so hard to put out Indonesian fires shrouding the region in toxic smog? BBC News
- Malaysia closes schools in capital, parts of country due to haze Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Malaysia shuts schools amid toxic haze from Indonesian fires Deutsche Welle
- Haze not ‘a threat’ to Singapore Formula 1 race, but entertainment activities may be curbed South China Morning Post
- How toxic haze is causing Singapore’s landmarks to disappear BBC News
- Singapore’s air pollution worst in world as haze shuts Malaysia schools News - South China Morning Post
Related prediction markets
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In this story
- Indonesia
- Singapore
- Prabowo Subianto