Europe crackdown halves shadow fleet as ships flee to Russian flag
A CREA report finds that sanctions and detentions have forced over 100 shadow vessels to join the Russian registry since January 2025.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 03:04 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 25 Sept 2026. kyivindependent.com published first, on 25 September at 00:09 UTC; News Feed followed 3h 52m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 25 September at 04:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), kyivindependent.com.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Russia — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Russia before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline as the date of issuance rather than the date the advisory is active.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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- Kalshi Russia 3%
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In this story
- Russia
- CREA