England thrash Croatia 7-0 in Nations League as Harry Kane continues scoring run
Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka score twice as England defeat Croatia 7-0 to take second place in their Nations League group.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Guardian Sport, 16 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 28% |
| 9 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 23% |
| 9 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 22% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 29% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 27% |
| 8 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 27% |
| 8 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 27% |
| 8 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 34% |
| 8 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 40% |
| 8 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 38% |
| 8 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 46% |
| 8 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 34% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 31% |
| 7 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 31% |
| 7 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 29% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 32% |
| 7 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 14:26 UTC | 32% |
| 7 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 12:12 UTC | 29% |
| 7 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 39% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 32% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 26% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 43% |
| 6 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Oct, 12:26 UTC | 20% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch England respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 3 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 3 October at 18:04 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 17 min later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 7 October at 12:38 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), www.espn.com (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- England — the market puts it at 28%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if England wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake a single match victory, like the one against Croatia, for winning the entire championship.
- Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? — the market puts it at 20%, with $162 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. England wins if they are the final champion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market resolves to No if England is eliminated from contention before the tournament concludes. Readers often mistake a single match victory for winning the entire competition.
- England — the market puts it at 14%, closing 15 Aug 2028. England must win the 2028 UEFA European Championship for the outcome to be Yes. Any other result leads to No. Readers often mistake the deadline as the final match date rather than the tournament conclusion.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on England at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian SportKane and Saka at the double as England thrash Croatia 7-0 in Nations League—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraEngland trounce Croatia 7-0 in Nations League as Kane goal run continues—
- The Guardian SportEngland on a high after historic Croatia rout; Republic of Ireland v Israel tensions build – matchday live—
- The Guardian SportEngland hammer Croatia and Manchester City get their appeal on: Football Weekly – podcast20%
- The Guardian SportEngland hammer Croatia and Manchester City get their appeal on | Football Weekly – video20%
- The Guardian SportFootball Daily | Child’s play for England with a 7-0 demolition job against Croatia26%▲6 points since the previous source
- BBC SportKane scores twice but who else was a 'real threat'? England player ratings21%▼5 points since the previous source
- www.espn.comEngland's Nations League takeaways: Kane makes history, Tuchel steadies ship21%
- SkySportsWorld Cup criticism still stings Tuchel despite Nations League positives29%▲8 points since the previous source
- Current odds28%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- England's Nations League takeaways: Kane makes history, Tuchel steadies ship www.espn.com ·
- Football Daily | Child’s play for England with a 7-0 demolition job against Croatia The Guardian Sport ·
- England hammer Croatia and Manchester City get their appeal on | Football Weekly – video The Guardian Sport ·
- England hammer Croatia and Manchester City get their appeal on: Football Weekly – podcast The Guardian Sport ·
- England on a high after historic Croatia rout; Republic of Ireland v Israel tensions build – matchday live The Guardian Sport ·
- England trounce Croatia 7-0 in Nations League as Kane goal run continues Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi England 28%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? 20% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi England 14%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- England
- Croatia
- Harry Kane
- Bukayo Saka
- Thomas Tuchel