Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
Implied probability 21%+1
24-hour volume$427
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$39k
Resolves14 Jun 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 19% |
| 6 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 08:30 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 04:51 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Oct, 00:08 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 18:16 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 11:47 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
England wins if they are the final champion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market resolves to No if England is eliminated from contention before the tournament concludes. Readers often mistake a single match victory for winning the entire competition.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 21%
- No 80%
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