Djokovic Overcomes Fitness Issues to Advance at China Open
Novak Djokovic battles past Yunchaokete Bu despite fitness concerns, aiming for the ATP Finals.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 99% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 66% |
| 6 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 65% |
| 6 Oct, 02:50 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 62% |
| 5 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 65% |
| 5 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 16:03 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 63% |
| 5 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 13:32 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 50% |
| 5 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Oct, 05:50 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 27% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 17:47 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Oct, 13:54 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 10:20 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 16:46 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 17:37 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 17:26 UTC | 10% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 2 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 2 October at 18:25 UTC; SI Feed followed 18h 34m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 3 October at 13:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SkySports, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Novak Djokovic — resolved “Yes” on 6 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Novak Djokovic wins the 2026 ATP Beijing professional tennis tournament. Readers often mistake this for any tournament he enters or confuse the deadline with the linked story's date.
- China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic — resolved “Novak Djokovic” on 3 Oct 2026.
- Before 2028 — the market puts it at 9%, closing 8 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Novak Djokovic wins a Grand Slam title before 2028. It resolves to No if he does not achieve this milestone within that timeframe. Readers often mistake any tournament victory for a Grand Slam win, but only major titles count toward the outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Novak Djokovic Yes 32d ago
The market favoured Yes at 65% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 35d ago
The market favoured Novak Djokovic at 76% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2028 9%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Novak Djokovic
- Yunchaokete Bu
- China Open
- ATP Finals