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Denmark beat Wales 2-0 in Nations League to leave them bottom of group

A Ben Davies own goal and a Gustav Isaksen strike secured the victory for Denmark in Copenhagen.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 27 Sept 2026 · updated 41d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by SkySports, 9 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Will Wales win on 2026-10-04?
0%50%100%0%26 Sept, 20:43 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Denmark dominate Wales in Nations League as Isaksen adds finishing touch · 27 Sept, 18:44 UTCBBC Sport: Highlights: Denmark 2-0 Wales · 27 Sept, 18:22 UTCSkySports: Wales comfortably beaten by Denmark in Nations League · 27 Sept, 18:12 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
4 Oct, 21:05 UTC0%
4 Oct, 20:25 UTC1%
4 Oct, 19:52 UTC20%
4 Oct, 18:54 UTC24%
4 Oct, 18:13 UTC25%
4 Oct, 11:30 UTC24%
4 Oct, 11:11 UTC25%
4 Oct, 10:57 UTC24%
4 Oct, 05:54 UTC25%
2 Oct, 15:37 UTC26%
2 Oct, 07:15 UTC25%
2 Oct, 02:05 UTC25%
2 Oct, 01:13 UTC25%
1 Oct, 21:53 UTC25%
1 Oct, 20:22 UTC23%
1 Oct, 19:41 UTC23%
1 Oct, 17:22 UTC22%
1 Oct, 16:44 UTC22%
1 Oct, 15:00 UTC22%
1 Oct, 14:45 UTC22%
1 Oct, 11:45 UTC22%
1 Oct, 09:23 UTC22%
30 Sept, 23:06 UTC22%
30 Sept, 22:59 UTC22%
30 Sept, 14:06 UTC22%
30 Sept, 13:57 UTC22%
30 Sept, 13:08 UTC22%
30 Sept, 12:53 UTC22%
30 Sept, 12:16 UTC22%
30 Sept, 11:54 UTC22%
30 Sept, 06:34 UTC21%
30 Sept, 06:27 UTC22%
30 Sept, 04:06 UTC21%
30 Sept, 01:30 UTC22%
29 Sept, 19:18 UTC22%
29 Sept, 18:47 UTC25%
29 Sept, 16:39 UTC24%
29 Sept, 15:59 UTC24%
29 Sept, 13:35 UTC25%
29 Sept, 12:33 UTC24%
29 Sept, 12:26 UTC22%
29 Sept, 11:35 UTC21%
29 Sept, 11:28 UTC22%
29 Sept, 10:08 UTC23%
29 Sept, 09:51 UTC24%
29 Sept, 08:41 UTC24%
29 Sept, 08:27 UTC24%
29 Sept, 06:12 UTC25%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC23%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC24%
28 Sept, 18:54 UTC25%
28 Sept, 14:06 UTC31%
28 Sept, 13:20 UTC27%
28 Sept, 12:49 UTC28%
28 Sept, 09:57 UTC26%
28 Sept, 08:46 UTC27%
28 Sept, 08:17 UTC26%
28 Sept, 07:51 UTC26%
28 Sept, 02:33 UTC28%
28 Sept, 02:25 UTC29%
28 Sept, 01:19 UTC28%
27 Sept, 22:40 UTC30%
27 Sept, 22:24 UTC31%
27 Sept, 21:57 UTC30%
27 Sept, 21:29 UTC29%
27 Sept, 20:50 UTC29%
26 Sept, 20:43 UTC25%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 27 Sept 2026. SkySports published first, on 27 September at 18:12 UTC; BBC Sport followed 10 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 27 September at 18:44 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Wales win on 2026-10-04? — resolved “No” on 4 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Wales wins the match scheduled for October 4, 2026, and No otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final whistle or extra time as the deciding factor, but only the regulation time score counts.
  • Norway — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Norway wins the Wales vs Norway UEFA Nations League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or if Wales wins. Readers often mistake the final result including extra time or penalties for the deciding factor, but only the score at the end of regular play counts.
  • Denmark — the market puts it at 1%, closing 15 Aug 2028. Denmark must win the 2028 UEFA European Championship for the outcome to be Yes. Any other result, including losing in earlier rounds or finishing as runner-up, leads to a No resolution. Readers often mistake reaching the final or winning individual matches as sufficient, but only becoming the overall champion counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Wales win on 2026-10-04? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SkySportsWales comfortably beaten by Denmark in Nations League25%
  2. BBC SportHighlights: Denmark 2-0 Wales25%
  3. The Guardian SportDenmark dominate Wales in Nations League as Isaksen adds finishing touch25%
  4. Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Denmark dominate Wales in Nations League as Isaksen adds finishing touch The Guardian Sport ·
  2. Highlights: Denmark 2-0 Wales BBC Sport
  3. Wales comfortably beaten by Denmark in Nations League SkySports

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will Wales win on 2026-10-04? No 33d ago

    The market favoured No at 75% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Norway No 36d ago

    The market favoured Yes at 68% a day out, but No won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Denmark 1% $0 24hends 15 Aug 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Denmark
  • Wales
  • Ben Davies
  • Gustav Isaksen
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