Norway
Implied probability 1%−67
24-hour volume$4.4M
Total volume$4.7M
Liquidity$4.7M
Resolves3 Oct 2026
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Norway wins the Wales vs Norway UEFA Nations League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or if Wales wins. Readers often mistake the final result including extra time or penalties for the deciding factor, but only the score at the end of regular play counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%