Democrats Bet on Energy Pivot to Flip Texas
The party is betting that embracing a variety of energy sources can end three decades of opposition in the Lone Star State.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 29 October at 12:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Texas only — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Democrats win the Texas Class II Senate seat while simultaneously losing the Alaska Class II, Iowa Class II, and Ohio Class III seats for the term starting in 2027. The outcome is No if any of those other three races result in a Democratic victory. Readers often mistake the Ohio race deadline, which applies to the 2027 term, as the immediate election date.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Texas only No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?