Colombia Opens Embassy in Jerusalem, Restoring Ties With Israel
The move draws formal denunciation from Egypt and criticism from Palestinian officials while establishing diplomatic presence under President Abelardo de la Espriella.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, 5h 21m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 19:46 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 14 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 14 October at 12:28 UTC; ABC News followed 5h 21m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 17 October at 16:54 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), africa.businessinsider.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Israel — the market puts it at 2%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Pope Leo XIV physically travels to and is present within Israel's geographic boundaries before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Ireland players for the resolution criteria, but only the Pope's physical presence matters.
- Israel — the market puts it at 10%, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays inside Israel between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about arms sales for the resolution criteria, but only Trump's physical presence matters.
- Saudi Arabia — the market puts it at 10%, with $353 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Israel and Saudi Arabia establish formal diplomatic ties before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about military cooperation or economic deals rather than official diplomatic normalization.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Israel at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraColombia opens embassy in Jerusalem and restores free trade with Israel2%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraColombia inaugurates embassy to Israel in Jerusalem2%
- ABC NewsColombia opens an embassy in Jerusalem after restoring diplomatic ties with Israel2%
- africa.businessinsider.comPowerful North African nation issues warning as South American country opens Jerusalem embassy despite dispute over the city’s status2%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWhy are Latin American countries building closer ties with Israel?2%
- Current odds2%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Why are Latin American countries building closer ties with Israel? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Colombia opens an embassy in Jerusalem after restoring diplomatic ties with Israel ABC News ·
- Colombia inaugurates embassy to Israel in Jerusalem Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Colombia opens embassy in Jerusalem and restores free trade with Israel Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Powerful North African nation issues warning as South American country opens Jerusalem embassy despite dispute over the city’s status africa.businessinsider.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Israel 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Israel 10% +3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Saudi Arabia 10% +3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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