China's 25 Trillion-Yuan Infrastructure Plan Could Offset Weaknesses
BofA Global Research estimates the plan will generate 5 trillion yuan annually to help offset property and infrastructure weakness.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 14% |
| 6 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Oct, 00:11 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 10:44 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 06:32 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 04:56 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 17% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 8 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 8 October at 03:33 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- By 2030 — the market puts it at 14%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if China's gross domestic product exceeds that of the United States by the year 2030. It resolves to No if China's GDP does not surpass the US total within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about rare earth processing for the actual resolution criteria, but only GDP figures determine the outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi By 2030 14%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- China
- BofA Global Research
- Helen Qiao