Chile President Makes First State Visit to Bolivia in 71 Years
José Antonio Kast meets Rodrigo Paz in La Paz to seek a diplomatic reset and economic integration between the two historic foes.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 22:05 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 15:36 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 30% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 37% |
| 15 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 25% |
| 14 Oct, 09:06 UTC | 26% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Chile respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 15 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 15 October at 09:30 UTC; ABC News followed 33h 09m later. The most recent article, from France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo, appeared on 17 October at 04:05 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Chile — resolved “No” on 26 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Flávio Bolsonaro wins first place among Brazilian voters living abroad in the 2026 Chilean runoff. The result depends entirely on certified election data from that specific vote count. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about his performance in Brazil rather than the overseas ballot.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Chile at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsChile, Bolivia Seek Diplomatic Reset in New Right-Wing Alignment26%
- ABC NewsChile president makes first state visit to Bolivia in 71 years as region shifts right25%▼1 points since the previous source
- France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoInforme desde Santiago: por primera vez desde 1955, un presidente de Chile visita Bolivia25%
- France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivoKast y Paz se reúnen para mejorar las relaciones entre Bolivia y Chile, tensas desde hace décadas25%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Chile president makes first state visit to Bolivia in 71 years as region shifts right ABC News ·
- Chile, Bolivia Seek Diplomatic Reset in New Right-Wing Alignment Bloomberg Markets ·
- Kast y Paz se reúnen para mejorar las relaciones entre Bolivia y Chile, tensas desde hace décadas France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo
- Informe desde Santiago: por primera vez desde 1955, un presidente de Chile visita Bolivia France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Chile No 12d ago
The market favoured No at 74% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- José Antonio Kast
- Rodrigo Paz
- Chile
- Bolivia