Chancellor John Healey considers capital gains tax hike in upcoming budget
The chancellor is evaluating a capital gains tax increase as a potential revenue-raising measure for the forthcoming budget.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 24 Sept, 05:31 UTC | 45% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 25 Sept 2026. The Guardian Business published first, on 25 September at 05:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Capital Gains Tax Rise — the market puts it at 45%, closing 1 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if the UK government officially agrees to or announces a rise in any main capital gains tax rate before December 1, 2026. The outcome is No if no such increase occurs by that date. Readers often mistake political consideration or media speculation for an official announcement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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- Kalshi Capital Gains Tax Rise 45%
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In this story
- John Healey