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New York Declares Measles Disaster Emergency as Pennsylvania Cases Top 1,000

Governor Kathy Hochul declares a disaster emergency in New York as Pennsylvania reports over 1,000 cases and five deaths amid the largest US outbreak in decades.

11 publishers · 33 articles · first seen 22 Sept 2026 · updated 30d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
0%50%100%100%21 Sept, 08:12 UTCnowArs Technica: PA measles outbreak tops 1,000 cases, largest since disease was eliminated · 7 Oct, 20:01 UTCThe Hill: New York declares measles disaster emergency · 6 Oct, 13:23 UTCThe Guardian US: New York governor declares state of emergency after spike in measles cases · 6 Oct, 13:17 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: New York state declares measles disaster amid resurgence of disease in US · 6 Oct, 00:00 UTCThe Hill: Pennsylvania measles cases pass 1K mark amid outbreak · 5 Oct, 21:10 UTCThe Guardian US: Pennsylvania faces largest measles outbreak in decades as case count rises to 1,000 · 5 Oct, 21:09 UTCThe Guardian US: Pennsylvania health officials brace themselves as measles outbreak expected to spread · 4 Oct, 10:00 UTCJust In News: Pennsylvania nears 1,000 measles cases, state health department reports · 3 Oct, 16:11 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Pennsylvania confirms fifth measles-associated death as US outbreak grows · 30 Sept, 23:31 UTCThe Hill: Pennsylvania records fifth measles-related death this year · 30 Sept, 21:54 UTCArs Technica: Fifth unvaccinated person dies of measles; CDC still not counting all deaths · 30 Sept, 21:37 UTCThe Guardian US: Pennsylvania reports fifth measles-related death of the year amid outbreak · 30 Sept, 20:28 UTCJust In News: CDC updates measles count, now includes two deaths · 29 Sept, 17:01 UTCThe Guardian US: CDC reports second measles death in US while excluding Pennsylvania deaths · 29 Sept, 16:59 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: CDC reports two measles deaths in US as cases hit 35-year high · 29 Sept, 15:08 UTCJust In News: Pennsylvania surpasses 900 measles cases · 28 Sept, 22:19 UTCThe New York Times: Pennsylvania Measles Outbreak Grows to Nearly 900 Cases · 27 Sept, 19:17 UTCThe Guardian US: Pennsylvania measles outbreak spreads, with 55 new cases reported since Wednesday · 26 Sept, 14:10 UTCThe Hill: CDC adds 1 measles death to U.S. tracker, while PA reports disease killed 4 · 24 Sept, 19:48 UTCThe Guardian US: Why the CDC is excluding measles deaths in Pennsylvania even as outbreak appears to be ‘accelerating’ · 22 Sept, 11:00 UTCMedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians: Pennsylvania's Measles Outbreak Is the Largest in Decades in the U.S. · 6 Oct, 14:22 UTCTimes of India: New York declares disaster emergency over measles, 108 cases reported · 6 Oct, 03:32 UTCDeutsche Welle: Measles cases are spreading in the US this year, with over 1,000 infections reported in Pennsylvania · 6 Oct, 01:35 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: New York declares statewide disaster emergency as measles cases rise · 5 Oct, 21:23 UTCSky News: State of emergency declared in New York as measle cases rise · 5 Oct, 20:26 UTCSTAT: How big is Pennsylvania’s measles outbreak? · 2 Oct, 11:53 UTCMedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians: Pennsylvania Records a Fifth Measles Death as U.S. Endures Its Worst Year Since 1991 · 1 Oct, 14:00 UTCMedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians: CDC Raises Measles Death Count Again; MAHA Summit Takeaways; Kennedy's Vax AI Plans · 30 Sept, 15:02 UTCSTAT: CDC measles death count still lags Pennsylvania’s · 30 Sept, 11:59 UTCSTAT: Opinion: RFK Jr.’s use of the National Center for Health Statistics will add confusion to measles deaths count · 25 Sept, 08:30 UTCSTAT: One of the most contagious diseases on the planet is having its worst U.S. outbreak since 1991 · 24 Sept, 11:52 UTCSTAT: Opinion: Measles almost killed me. Now I’m a doctor — and I’m scared of what’s happening · 24 Sept, 08:30 UTCMedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians: CDC, Epidemiologists Work on Definition for Measles Deaths · 22 Sept, 19:30 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

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The story so far

11 publishers have covered this in 33 articles since 22 Sept 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 22 September at 11:00 UTC; MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians followed 8h 30m later. The most recent article, from Ars Technica, appeared on 7 October at 20:01 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian US (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Ars Technica (major outlet), MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians, STAT, Sky News, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Deutsche Welle, Times of India.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 6 Nov 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if the CDC measles case counter shows 5,000 or more confirmed cases in the United States during 2026. It resolves to "No" if the count stays below that threshold by the end of the year. Readers often mistakenly use state-level reports or news articles instead of the official CDC counter.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. The Guardian USWhy the CDC is excluding measles deaths in Pennsylvania even as outbreak appears to be ‘accelerating’67%
  2. MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansCDC, Epidemiologists Work on Definition for Measles Deaths65%▼2 points since the previous source
  3. STATOpinion: Measles almost killed me. Now I’m a doctor — and I’m scared of what’s happening71%▲6 points since the previous source
  4. STATOne of the most contagious diseases on the planet is having its worst U.S. outbreak since 199172%▲1 points since the previous source
  5. The HillCDC adds 1 measles death to U.S. tracker, while PA reports disease killed 472%
  6. STATOpinion: RFK Jr.’s use of the National Center for Health Statistics will add confusion to measles deaths count72%
  7. The Guardian USPennsylvania measles outbreak spreads, with 55 new cases reported since Wednesday72%
  8. The New York TimesPennsylvania Measles Outbreak Grows to Nearly 900 Cases72%
  9. Just In NewsPennsylvania surpasses 900 measles cases72%
  10. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraCDC reports two measles deaths in US as cases hit 35-year high72%
  11. Show 23 later sources
    1. The Guardian USCDC reports second measles death in US while excluding Pennsylvania deaths72%
    2. Just In NewsCDC updates measles count, now includes two deaths72%
    3. STATCDC measles death count still lags Pennsylvania’s72%
    4. MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansCDC Raises Measles Death Count Again; MAHA Summit Takeaways; Kennedy's Vax AI Plans72%
    5. The Guardian USPennsylvania reports fifth measles-related death of the year amid outbreak72%
    6. Ars TechnicaFifth unvaccinated person dies of measles; CDC still not counting all deaths72%
    7. The HillPennsylvania records fifth measles-related death this year72%
    8. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPennsylvania confirms fifth measles-associated death as US outbreak grows72%
    9. MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansPennsylvania Records a Fifth Measles Death as U.S. Endures Its Worst Year Since 199172%
    10. STATHow big is Pennsylvania’s measles outbreak?72%
    11. Just In NewsPennsylvania nears 1,000 measles cases, state health department reports72%
    12. The Guardian USPennsylvania health officials brace themselves as measles outbreak expected to spread72%
    13. Sky NewsState of emergency declared in New York as measle cases rise72%
    14. The Guardian USPennsylvania faces largest measles outbreak in decades as case count rises to 1,00072%
    15. The HillPennsylvania measles cases pass 1K mark amid outbreak72%
    16. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesNew York declares statewide disaster emergency as measles cases rise72%
    17. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraNew York state declares measles disaster amid resurgence of disease in US72%
    18. Deutsche WelleMeasles cases are spreading in the US this year, with over 1,000 infections reported in Pennsylvania72%
    19. Times of IndiaNew York declares disaster emergency over measles, 108 cases reported72%
    20. The Guardian USNew York governor declares state of emergency after spike in measles cases89%▲17 points since the previous source
    21. The HillNew York declares measles disaster emergency89%
    22. MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansPennsylvania's Measles Outbreak Is the Largest in Decades in the U.S.89%
    23. Ars TechnicaPA measles outbreak tops 1,000 cases, largest since disease was eliminated90%▲1 points since the previous source
  12. Market resolved: Yes

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. PA measles outbreak tops 1,000 cases, largest since disease was eliminated Ars Technica ·
  2. New York declares measles disaster emergency The Hill ·
  3. New York governor declares state of emergency after spike in measles cases The Guardian US ·
  4. New York state declares measles disaster amid resurgence of disease in US Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  5. Pennsylvania measles cases pass 1K mark amid outbreak The Hill ·
  6. Pennsylvania faces largest measles outbreak in decades as case count rises to 1,000 The Guardian US ·
Show 27 more sources
  1. Pennsylvania health officials brace themselves as measles outbreak expected to spread The Guardian US ·
  2. Pennsylvania nears 1,000 measles cases, state health department reports Just In News ·
  3. Pennsylvania confirms fifth measles-associated death as US outbreak grows Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  4. Pennsylvania records fifth measles-related death this year The Hill ·
  5. Fifth unvaccinated person dies of measles; CDC still not counting all deaths Ars Technica ·
  6. Pennsylvania reports fifth measles-related death of the year amid outbreak The Guardian US ·
  7. CDC updates measles count, now includes two deaths Just In News ·
  8. CDC reports second measles death in US while excluding Pennsylvania deaths The Guardian US ·
  9. CDC reports two measles deaths in US as cases hit 35-year high Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  10. Pennsylvania surpasses 900 measles cases Just In News ·
  11. Pennsylvania Measles Outbreak Grows to Nearly 900 Cases The New York Times ·
  12. Pennsylvania measles outbreak spreads, with 55 new cases reported since Wednesday The Guardian US ·
  13. CDC adds 1 measles death to U.S. tracker, while PA reports disease killed 4 The Hill ·
  14. Why the CDC is excluding measles deaths in Pennsylvania even as outbreak appears to be ‘accelerating’ The Guardian US ·
  15. Pennsylvania's Measles Outbreak Is the Largest in Decades in the U.S. MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians
  16. New York declares disaster emergency over measles, 108 cases reported Times of India
  17. Measles cases are spreading in the US this year, with over 1,000 infections reported in Pennsylvania Deutsche Welle
  18. New York declares statewide disaster emergency as measles cases rise France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  19. State of emergency declared in New York as measle cases rise Sky News
  20. How big is Pennsylvania’s measles outbreak? STAT
  21. Pennsylvania Records a Fifth Measles Death as U.S. Endures Its Worst Year Since 1991 MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians
  22. CDC Raises Measles Death Count Again; MAHA Summit Takeaways; Kennedy's Vax AI Plans MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians
  23. CDC measles death count still lags Pennsylvania’s STAT
  24. Opinion: RFK Jr.’s use of the National Center for Health Statistics will add confusion to measles deaths count STAT
  25. One of the most contagious diseases on the planet is having its worst U.S. outbreak since 1991 STAT
  26. Opinion: Measles almost killed me. Now I’m a doctor — and I’m scared of what’s happening STAT
  27. CDC, Epidemiologists Work on Definition for Measles Deaths MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 14h ago

    The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Kathy Hochul
  • Pennsylvania
  • New York
  • CDC
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