BYU QB Bear Bachmeier Leads Historic Upset Over Notre Dame

Bear Bachmeier throws a go-ahead touchdown pass to secure BYU's victory over No. 2 Notre Dame, boosting his power rankings and playoff hopes.

3 publishers · 5 articles · first seen 18 Oct 2026 · updated 17d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by feeds.bleacherreport.com, 1h 03m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · BYU

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	2%
25 Oct, 04:36 UTC	2%
25 Oct, 03:58 UTC	2%
25 Oct, 02:00 UTC	1%
25 Oct, 00:43 UTC	2%
25 Oct, 00:21 UTC	2%
24 Oct, 23:41 UTC	1%
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24 Oct, 22:58 UTC	2%
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24 Oct, 20:37 UTC	4%
24 Oct, 20:23 UTC	3%
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24 Oct, 18:50 UTC	3%
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24 Oct, 17:36 UTC	3%
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24 Oct, 15:55 UTC	3%
24 Oct, 15:27 UTC	3%
24 Oct, 11:19 UTC	4%
24 Oct, 07:27 UTC	4%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC	2%
24 Oct, 03:51 UTC	4%
24 Oct, 01:38 UTC	3%
24 Oct, 00:52 UTC	4%
24 Oct, 00:13 UTC	3%
23 Oct, 23:50 UTC	4%
23 Oct, 23:17 UTC	4%
23 Oct, 22:35 UTC	3%
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23 Oct, 21:11 UTC	3%
23 Oct, 20:28 UTC	4%
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23 Oct, 18:00 UTC	4%
23 Oct, 17:24 UTC	3%
23 Oct, 16:50 UTC	4%
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23 Oct, 14:32 UTC	4%
23 Oct, 14:24 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 13:45 UTC	3%
23 Oct, 12:50 UTC	4%
23 Oct, 12:29 UTC	3%
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23 Oct, 09:55 UTC	3%
23 Oct, 05:11 UTC	4%
23 Oct, 04:57 UTC	3%
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23 Oct, 00:28 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 23:55 UTC	4%
22 Oct, 23:13 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 22:39 UTC	3%
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22 Oct, 21:57 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 20:55 UTC	3%
22 Oct, 20:13 UTC	3%
22 Oct, 19:23 UTC	4%
22 Oct, 18:56 UTC	4%
22 Oct, 18:27 UTC	4%
22 Oct, 17:24 UTC	3%
22 Oct, 15:57 UTC	4%
22 Oct, 14:24 UTC	4%
22 Oct, 13:56 UTC	3%
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22 Oct, 06:53 UTC	3%
22 Oct, 04:55 UTC	4%
22 Oct, 03:30 UTC	4%
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22 Oct, 02:26 UTC	4%
22 Oct, 01:58 UTC	4%
22 Oct, 01:29 UTC	3%
22 Oct, 00:59 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 23:49 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 23:28 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 22:24 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 21:55 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 21:12 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 20:49 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 19:31 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 19:17 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 18:41 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 18:27 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 17:27 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 16:58 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 14:05 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 13:26 UTC	2%
21 Oct, 12:49 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 11:24 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 10:54 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 10:24 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 07:29 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 06:51 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 06:23 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 05:48 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 04:59 UTC	4%
21 Oct, 04:26 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 03:57 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 02:41 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 01:17 UTC	3%
21 Oct, 00:22 UTC	4%
20 Oct, 23:57 UTC	3%
20 Oct, 22:52 UTC	3%
20 Oct, 22:24 UTC	4%
20 Oct, 21:41 UTC	3%
20 Oct, 21:13 UTC	3%
20 Oct, 20:58 UTC	3%
20 Oct, 20:10 UTC	4%
20 Oct, 18:59 UTC	3%
20 Oct, 17:53 UTC	3%
20 Oct, 17:10 UTC	4%
20 Oct, 15:58 UTC	3%
20 Oct, 15:16 UTC	2%
20 Oct, 14:54 UTC	4%
20 Oct, 12:25 UTC	3%
20 Oct, 07:29 UTC	4%
20 Oct, 06:58 UTC	2%
20 Oct, 06:13 UTC	3%
19 Oct, 03:30 UTC	3%
19 Oct, 03:09 UTC	4%
19 Oct, 02:49 UTC	3%
19 Oct, 02:29 UTC	4%
19 Oct, 01:54 UTC	3%
19 Oct, 01:26 UTC	4%
19 Oct, 00:51 UTC	3%
19 Oct, 00:11 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 23:57 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 23:29 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 22:56 UTC	2%
18 Oct, 22:07 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 21:48 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 21:27 UTC	2%
18 Oct, 20:53 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 20:27 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 19:59 UTC	4%
18 Oct, 19:10 UTC	4%
18 Oct, 17:59 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 17:17 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 16:38 UTC	4%
18 Oct, 16:24 UTC	2%
18 Oct, 15:59 UTC	4%
18 Oct, 15:29 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 11:19 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 10:22 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 07:01 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 06:43 UTC	2%
18 Oct, 03:36 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 03:23 UTC	2%
18 Oct, 02:31 UTC	1%
18 Oct, 01:35 UTC	2%
22 Sept, 06:59 UTC	1%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 18 Oct 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 18 October at 12:02 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 1h 03m later. The most recent article, from CBS Sports Headlines, appeared on 21 October at 13:21 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: feeds.bleacherreport.com, CBS Sports Headlines, SI Feed.

3 prediction markets price this story:

BYU — the market puts it at 2%, with $416k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if BYU wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific game. Readers often mistake this for any regular-season victory or a different championship title.
Bear Bachmeier — the market puts it at 1%, with $85k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Bear Bachmeier wins the College Football Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 season; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the linked game result for the resolution criteria, but only the official award announcement matters.
BYU — resolved “No” on 25 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if BYU finishes the 2026 college football regular season without any losses. It resolves to No if the team loses at least one game during that specific season. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the entire year rather than just the regular season.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on BYU at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

18 Oct, 12:02feeds.bleacherreport.com Bear Bachmeier Says Notre Dame 'Disrespected' His Family While He Was in HS, BYU QB Kept 'Receipts'3%
18 Oct, 13:06CBS Sports Headlines BYU spent decades fighting for respect, and a win over Notre Dame finally delivered it3%
18 Oct, 13:30SI Feed BYU's Historic Upset Over Notre Dame Was Personal for Bear Bachmeier3%
19 Oct, 21:55SI Feed Bear Bachmeier's Go-Ahead Touchdown to Walker Lyons Almost Hit a Referee3%
21 Oct, 13:21CBS Sports Headlines College Football QB Power Rankings: Bear Bachmeier rises after upset of Notre Dame3%
NowCurrent odds2%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Kalshi BYU 2% $416k 24hends 23 Feb 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Kalshi Bear Bachmeier 1% −1 $85k 24hends 1 Jan 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Resolved BYU No 13d ago
The market favoured No at 71% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong

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In this story

Bear Bachmeier
BYU
Notre Dame

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