BYU
The market favoured No at 71% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 29% |
| 24 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 34% |
| 24 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 35% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 30% |
| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 30% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 29% |
| 24 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 29% |
| 24 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 29% |
| 24 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 29% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 28% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 29% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 29% |
| 21 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 28% |
| 21 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 28% |
| 21 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 29% |
| 21 Oct, 01:17 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 27% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 29% |
| 19 Oct, 00:11 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Oct, 21:07 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 29% |
| 18 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 26% |
| 18 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 25% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if BYU finishes the 2026 college football regular season without any losses. It resolves to No if the team loses at least one game during that specific season. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the entire year rather than just the regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%