UCF Stuns No. 2 BYU in Double Overtime for First Top-Five Win
Backup quarterback Keyone Jenkins accounted for four touchdowns as UCF defeated No. 2 BYU 39-31 in double overtime.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by CBS Sports Headlines, 26 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 71% |
| 31 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 71% |
| 31 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 75% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 77% |
| 29 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Oct, 21:36 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 78% |
| 25 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 61% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 6+ wins respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 24 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 24 October at 23:55 UTC; www.espn.com followed 26 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 30 October at 15:56 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), CBS Sports Headlines, SI Feed, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 6+ wins — the market puts it at 71%, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the UCF college football team achieves at least six wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they fall short of that win total. Readers often mistakenly count postseason bowl games or confuse the 2026 season with other years.
- BYU — the market puts it at 60%, closing 7 Feb 2027. BYU must finish in the top three of the Big 12 standings at the end of the 2026 college football regular season for the Yes outcome. The No outcome occurs if BYU finishes fourth or lower. Readers often mistake this for a single-game result rather than the final conference standing.
- 10+ wins — the market puts it at 64%, with $34 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the BYU college football team achieves at least 10 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than 10 wins in that same period. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, assuming it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 6+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CBS Sports HeadlinesUCF stuns No. 2 BYU in double overtime for first top-five win in program history61%
- www.espn.comUCF takes down No. 2 BYU in double OT after wild finish in regulation61%
- SI FeedInstant Reaction to BYU's Back-Breaking Loss to UCF in Double Overtime61%
- SI FeedBig 12 Officials Make Another End-of-Game Error as UCF Stuns No. 2 BYU72%▲11 points since the previous source
- SI FeedGrades & Stats That Explain BYU's Upset Loss to UCF78%▲6 points since the previous source
- SI FeedSunday Notebook as BYU Still Controls Its Own Destiny After UCF Loss78%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesScott Frost won't talk about Nebraska, but UCF's upset of No. 2 BYU speaks for him81%▲3 points since the previous source
- SI FeedWhy BYU Coaches Went Conservative on the Final Drive Against UCF81%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comBig 12 Rule Change Reveals In-Game Penalties for Fan Conduct amid 'Discriminatory Chants' Toward BYU81%
- SI FeedWhy BYU Still Controls Its Big 12 Championship Destiny After UCF Setback82%▲1 points since the previous source
- Current odds71%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- UCF takes down No. 2 BYU in double OT after wild finish in regulation www.espn.com ·
- Why BYU Still Controls Its Big 12 Championship Destiny After UCF Setback SI Feed
- Big 12 Rule Change Reveals In-Game Penalties for Fan Conduct amid 'Discriminatory Chants' Toward BYU feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Why BYU Coaches Went Conservative on the Final Drive Against UCF SI Feed
- Scott Frost won't talk about Nebraska, but UCF's upset of No. 2 BYU speaks for him CBS Sports Headlines
- Sunday Notebook as BYU Still Controls Its Own Destiny After UCF Loss SI Feed
Show 4 more sources
- Grades & Stats That Explain BYU's Upset Loss to UCF SI Feed
- Big 12 Officials Make Another End-of-Game Error as UCF Stuns No. 2 BYU SI Feed
- Instant Reaction to BYU's Back-Breaking Loss to UCF in Double Overtime SI Feed
- UCF stuns No. 2 BYU in double overtime for first top-five win in program history CBS Sports Headlines
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 6+ wins 71% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi BYU 60%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 10+ wins 64% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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