Brazil's Lula Condemns Israel Over Gaza's 'Pain and Trauma'
The Brazilian president condemned the actions of Israel’s government, stating that the resulting pain and trauma in Gaza will last for generations.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 26 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 100% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 100% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 100% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 100% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 94% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 68% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 59% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 34% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 28% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 24% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 23% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 21% |
| 21 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 23% |
| 12 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 16% |
| 5 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 23:51 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 13:54 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 10:00 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 06:40 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 42% |
| 3 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Oct, 17:37 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Oct, 11:35 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 13:08 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 12:31 UTC | 40% |
| 29 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 41% |
| 29 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 40% |
| 29 Sept, 16:07 UTC | 41% |
| 29 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 40% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 41% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 43% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 44% |
| 26 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 43% |
| 26 Sept, 03:16 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 45% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 44% |
| 24 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 43% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Sept, 01:06 UTC | 41% |
| 22 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 41% |
| 22 Sept, 15:11 UTC | 40% |
| 22 Sept, 12:47 UTC | 40% |
| 22 Sept, 12:20 UTC | 41% |
| 22 Sept, 00:14 UTC | 39% |
| 21 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 39% |
| 21 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 40% |
| 21 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 39% |
| 21 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 38% |
| 21 Sept, 17:43 UTC | 37% |
| 21 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 39% |
| 21 Sept, 12:56 UTC | 40% |
| 21 Sept, 06:10 UTC | 41% |
| 20 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Sept, 00:05 UTC | 47% |
| 12 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 48% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 49% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 44% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Sept 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 22 September at 19:59 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — resolved “Yes” on 26 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, including any potential second round. The No outcome applies if he does not win. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Gaza for the resolution criteria, but the market depends solely on the official election results reported by Brazil's Superior Electoral Court.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? — resolved “Yes” on 5 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva advances to the runoff or wins the first round outright. It resolves to No if he fails to reach the second round or if the election result is not confirmed by June 30, 2027. Readers often mistake the polling data in the linked story for the actual election outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 12d ago
The market favoured No at 80% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes 33d ago
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?