Keisha Lance Bottoms becomes first Black woman elected US governor in Georgia
Former Atlanta mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms defeats Republican Rick Jackson to become the first Black woman elected governor in the United States.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 7 Nov, 05:37 UTC | 100% |
| 5 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 03:30 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 17:34 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 17:05 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 11:05 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 80% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 21:13 UTC | 29% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Bottoms, 5+ pts respond.
The story so far
13 publishers have covered this in 18 articles since 2 Nov 2026. politico.com published first, on 2 November at 16:21 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 33h 58m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 6 November at 21:34 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: politico.com (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), Fox News Politics, Times of India, Rolling Stone, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Quartz and 1 more, all listed under Sources below.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Bottoms, 5+ pts — the market puts it at 100%, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by a margin of at least five percentage points. The outcome is No if that party wins by less than five points or loses the race entirely. Readers often mistake the linked headline about Keisha Lance Bottoms for the resolution criteria, but the market depends solely on the final vote margin in the 2026 election.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Bottoms, 5+ pts at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- politico.comBill Clinton cuts last-minute ad for Keisha Lance Bottoms in Georgia—
- Fox News PoliticsGeorgia governor's mansion projected to flip blue for first time in nearly 30 years67%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraKeisha Lance Bottoms makes US history as first Black woman elected governor67%
- The Guardian USGeorgia: Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms becomes first Black, female governor in US67%
- politico.comKeisha Lance Bottoms makes history — and gives Democrats new hope in the South67%
- Times of IndiaUS elections: K Bottoms makes history as first Black woman governor, flips Georgia seat67%
- The Hollywood ReporterChris Pappas Becomes First Openly Gay Man Elected to Senate67%
- The Guardian USDemocrats aim to sweep most US governor elections after wins in key states80%▲13 points since the previous source
- Rolling StoneKeisha Lance Bottoms Makes History as the First Black Woman Elected Governor in the U.S.80%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraKeisha Lance Bottoms becomes Georgia’s first black governor80%
Show 8 later sources
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines2026 Midterms: Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms makes history in Georgia99%▲19 points since the previous source
- QuartzKeisha Lance Bottoms gewann das Gouverneursrennen in Georgia und wurde die erste schwarze Gouverneurin in den USA.99%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS elects its first Black woman governor99%
- CBS News PoliticsHow Keisha Lance Bottoms found out she was elected Georgia's governor100%▲1 points since the previous source
- The HillGeorgia Gov. Brian Kemp rejects special session to undercut incoming Lance Bottoms100%
- Mother JonesBottoms Up!100%
- VarietyTyler Perry Joins Keisha Lance Bottoms’ Georgia Transition Team Despite Director’s Sexual Assault Lawsuits99%
- The HillBottoms taps Tyler Perry for her Georgia transition team99%
- Current odds100%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Bottoms taps Tyler Perry for her Georgia transition team The Hill ·
- Tyler Perry Joins Keisha Lance Bottoms’ Georgia Transition Team Despite Director’s Sexual Assault Lawsuits Variety ·
- Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp rejects special session to undercut incoming Lance Bottoms The Hill ·
- How Keisha Lance Bottoms found out she was elected Georgia's governor CBS News Politics ·
- US elects its first Black woman governor Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Keisha Lance Bottoms becomes Georgia’s first black governor Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
Show 12 more sources
- Democrats aim to sweep most US governor elections after wins in key states The Guardian US ·
- Chris Pappas Becomes First Openly Gay Man Elected to Senate The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Keisha Lance Bottoms makes history — and gives Democrats new hope in the South politico.com ·
- Georgia: Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms becomes first Black, female governor in US The Guardian US ·
- Keisha Lance Bottoms makes US history as first Black woman elected governor Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Bill Clinton cuts last-minute ad for Keisha Lance Bottoms in Georgia politico.com ·
- Bottoms Up! Mother Jones
- Keisha Lance Bottoms gewann das Gouverneursrennen in Georgia und wurde die erste schwarze Gouverneurin in den USA. Quartz
- 2026 Midterms: Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms makes history in Georgia France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Keisha Lance Bottoms Makes History as the First Black Woman Elected Governor in the U.S. Rolling Stone
- US elections: K Bottoms makes history as first Black woman governor, flips Georgia seat Times of India
- Georgia governor's mansion projected to flip blue for first time in nearly 30 years Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Bottoms, 5+ pts 100% +1
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In this story
- Keisha Lance Bottoms
- Brian Kemp
- Rick Jackson