Bottoms, 5+ pts
Implied probability 100%+1
24-hour volume$10
Total volume$39k
Liquidity$39k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 7 Nov, 05:37 UTC | 100% |
| 5 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 03:30 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 17:34 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 17:05 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 11:05 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 80% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 21:13 UTC | 29% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by a margin of at least five percentage points. The outcome is No if that party wins by less than five points or loses the race entirely. Readers often mistake the linked headline about Keisha Lance Bottoms for the resolution criteria, but the market depends solely on the final vote margin in the 2026 election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%