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Finance Leaders Walk Out of IMF Summit in Bangkok Over Russian Minister

Andrew Bailey and other officials left an IMF session in Thailand to protest the presence of Russian finance minister Anton Siluanov.

8 publishers · 26 articles · first seen 6 Oct 2026 · updated 21d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Bank of Canada
0%50%100%99%28 Sept, 15:39 UTCnowBloomberg Markets: Global Aid Cuts Deepen Humanitarian Strain · 17 Oct, 12:44 UTCThe Guardian: Bank of England governor walks out of IMF summit in protest against Russia · 17 Oct, 12:15 UTCThe Guardian Business: ‘Countries are defying gravity at all income levels’: how long can global economy resist chaos? · 17 Oct, 10:00 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: G20 finance ministers, central bankers gather amid fallout from Iran war · 15 Oct, 06:16 UTCBloomberg Markets: IMF APAC Chief Warns of Rising Market Risks · 15 Oct, 02:15 UTCBloomberg Technology: IMF, World Bank Unveil Bangkok Blueprint to Combat Digital Fraud · 14 Oct, 05:30 UTCBloomberg Markets: BOT Deputy Governor Plans to Normalize Rates · 14 Oct, 04:29 UTCThe Guardian Business: IMF raises UK growth forecast in boost for chancellor - business live · 13 Oct, 06:20 UTCNews Feed: Asia has become the largest producer of zombie companies, IMF warns · 13 Oct, 03:19 UTCNews Feed: Top economies heading for biggest budget deficits since Covid, IMF warns · 13 Oct, 02:00 UTCThe Guardian Business: UK inflation pressures hits three-year high; Nobel prize for economics awarded today – business live · 12 Oct, 06:57 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: War and high debt to dominate IMF-World Bank meetings in Bangkok · 11 Oct, 18:47 UTCNews Feed: IMF and World Bank to warn central bankers of a gathering storm · 11 Oct, 17:15 UTCNews Feed: Bessent to miss IMF annual meetings in Bangkok · 9 Oct, 18:22 UTCSouth China Morning Post: ‘Thai people already poor’: developing nations protest IMF’s austerity call · 17 Oct, 03:03 UTCBBC Business: Faisal Islam: Why China and AI are worrying global finance bosses · 17 Oct, 01:59 UTCLatest articles: ADB chief warns of high inflation in Asia amid uncertainty · 16 Oct, 09:17 UTCSouth China Morning Post: IMF head urges US and rich nations to rein in deficits as global debt soars · 14 Oct, 09:20 UTCSouth China Morning Post: Asia must guard against repeat of 1997 financial crisis: Philippine central bank chief · 14 Oct, 05:46 UTCSouth China Morning Post: Submerged to save Bangkok: rural Thais bear brunt of capital’s flood defences · 14 Oct, 05:07 UTCPhys.org - latest science and technology news stories: Nearly 300,000 at risk from Himalayan floods, as flood zone building accelerates · 10 Oct, 18:00 UTCLatest articles: U.S. Treasury chief Scott Bessent to skip IMF-World Bank meetings in Bangkok · 10 Oct, 01:37 UTCLatest articles: Nearly 30 years after IMF rescue, Thailand faces new economic test · 9 Oct, 08:15 UTCNews - South China Morning Post: ‘Nothing is left’: deadly floods slam Thai economy and strain Bangkok ahead of IMF meeting · 7 Oct, 11:40 UTCPhys.org - latest science and technology news stories: As the planet warms, cities like Bangkok could be increasingly inundated by deadly floods · 6 Oct, 12:00 UTCSouth China Morning Post: Bangkok braces for fresh chaos as possible floods threaten IMF-World Bank summit · 6 Oct, 01:45 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now99%
28 Oct, 13:57 UTC96%
28 Oct, 03:36 UTC89%
26 Oct, 03:57 UTC91%
26 Oct, 01:12 UTC94%
25 Oct, 02:35 UTC91%
23 Oct, 05:53 UTC94%
22 Oct, 23:13 UTC93%
22 Oct, 14:54 UTC94%
21 Oct, 09:26 UTC91%
21 Oct, 01:24 UTC89%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC87%
13 Oct, 17:21 UTC70%
13 Oct, 15:24 UTC71%
12 Oct, 21:19 UTC72%
12 Oct, 17:43 UTC73%
12 Oct, 16:19 UTC73%
11 Oct, 21:19 UTC78%
9 Oct, 12:38 UTC75%
7 Oct, 21:51 UTC73%
1 Oct, 22:51 UTC80%
30 Sept, 13:57 UTC81%
29 Sept, 16:31 UTC82%
28 Sept, 15:39 UTC87%

The story so far

8 publishers have covered this in 26 articles since 6 Oct 2026. South China Morning Post published first, on 6 October at 01:45 UTC; Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories followed 10h 15m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 17 October at 12:44 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), South China Morning Post, Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories, Latest articles, BBC Business.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Bank of Canada — resolved “Yes” on 29 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Bank of Canada raises its overnight rate target and this action is confirmed by the relevant source agency before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if this specific confirmation does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake any general discussion of interest rates for an actual rate hike or ignore the requirement for official confirmation.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Bank of Canada at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. South China Morning PostBangkok braces for fresh chaos as possible floods threaten IMF-World Bank summit80%
  2. Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesAs the planet warms, cities like Bangkok could be increasingly inundated by deadly floods80%
  3. News - South China Morning Post‘Nothing is left’: deadly floods slam Thai economy and strain Bangkok ahead of IMF meeting80%
  4. Latest articlesNearly 30 years after IMF rescue, Thailand faces new economic test73%▼7 points since the previous source
  5. News FeedBessent to miss IMF annual meetings in Bangkok75%▲2 points since the previous source
  6. Latest articlesU.S. Treasury chief Scott Bessent to skip IMF-World Bank meetings in Bangkok75%
  7. Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesNearly 300,000 at risk from Himalayan floods, as flood zone building accelerates75%
  8. News FeedIMF and World Bank to warn central bankers of a gathering storm75%
  9. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWar and high debt to dominate IMF-World Bank meetings in Bangkok75%
  10. The Guardian BusinessUK inflation pressures hits three-year high; Nobel prize for economics awarded today – business live78%▲3 points since the previous source
  11. Show 16 later sources
    1. News FeedTop economies heading for biggest budget deficits since Covid, IMF warns72%▼6 points since the previous source
    2. News FeedAsia has become the largest producer of zombie companies, IMF warns72%
    3. The Guardian BusinessIMF raises UK growth forecast in boost for chancellor - business live72%
    4. Bloomberg MarketsBOT Deputy Governor Plans to Normalize Rates70%▼2 points since the previous source
    5. South China Morning PostSubmerged to save Bangkok: rural Thais bear brunt of capital’s flood defences70%
    6. Bloomberg TechnologyIMF, World Bank Unveil Bangkok Blueprint to Combat Digital Fraud70%
    7. South China Morning PostAsia must guard against repeat of 1997 financial crisis: Philippine central bank chief70%
    8. South China Morning PostIMF head urges US and rich nations to rein in deficits as global debt soars70%
    9. Bloomberg MarketsIMF APAC Chief Warns of Rising Market Risks70%
    10. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraG20 finance ministers, central bankers gather amid fallout from Iran war70%
    11. Latest articlesADB chief warns of high inflation in Asia amid uncertainty70%
    12. BBC BusinessFaisal Islam: Why China and AI are worrying global finance bosses70%
    13. South China Morning Post‘Thai people already poor’: developing nations protest IMF’s austerity call70%
    14. The Guardian Business‘Countries are defying gravity at all income levels’: how long can global economy resist chaos?70%
    15. The GuardianBank of England governor walks out of IMF summit in protest against Russia70%
    16. Bloomberg MarketsGlobal Aid Cuts Deepen Humanitarian Strain70%
  12. Market resolved: Yes

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Global Aid Cuts Deepen Humanitarian Strain Bloomberg Markets ·
  2. Bank of England governor walks out of IMF summit in protest against Russia The Guardian ·
  3. ‘Countries are defying gravity at all income levels’: how long can global economy resist chaos? The Guardian Business ·
  4. G20 finance ministers, central bankers gather amid fallout from Iran war Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  5. IMF APAC Chief Warns of Rising Market Risks Bloomberg Markets ·
  6. IMF, World Bank Unveil Bangkok Blueprint to Combat Digital Fraud Bloomberg Technology ·
Show 20 more sources
  1. BOT Deputy Governor Plans to Normalize Rates Bloomberg Markets ·
  2. IMF raises UK growth forecast in boost for chancellor - business live The Guardian Business ·
  3. Asia has become the largest producer of zombie companies, IMF warns News Feed ·
  4. Top economies heading for biggest budget deficits since Covid, IMF warns News Feed ·
  5. UK inflation pressures hits three-year high; Nobel prize for economics awarded today – business live The Guardian Business ·
  6. War and high debt to dominate IMF-World Bank meetings in Bangkok Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  7. IMF and World Bank to warn central bankers of a gathering storm News Feed ·
  8. Bessent to miss IMF annual meetings in Bangkok News Feed ·
  9. ‘Thai people already poor’: developing nations protest IMF’s austerity call South China Morning Post
  10. Faisal Islam: Why China and AI are worrying global finance bosses BBC Business
  11. ADB chief warns of high inflation in Asia amid uncertainty Latest articles
  12. IMF head urges US and rich nations to rein in deficits as global debt soars South China Morning Post
  13. Asia must guard against repeat of 1997 financial crisis: Philippine central bank chief South China Morning Post
  14. Submerged to save Bangkok: rural Thais bear brunt of capital’s flood defences South China Morning Post
  15. Nearly 300,000 at risk from Himalayan floods, as flood zone building accelerates Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
  16. U.S. Treasury chief Scott Bessent to skip IMF-World Bank meetings in Bangkok Latest articles
  17. Nearly 30 years after IMF rescue, Thailand faces new economic test Latest articles
  18. ‘Nothing is left’: deadly floods slam Thai economy and strain Bangkok ahead of IMF meeting News - South China Morning Post
  19. As the planet warms, cities like Bangkok could be increasingly inundated by deadly floods Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
  20. Bangkok braces for fresh chaos as possible floods threaten IMF-World Bank summit South China Morning Post

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Bank of Canada Yes 9d ago

    The market favoured Yes at 89% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

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In this story

  • IMF
  • World Bank
  • Andrew Bailey
  • Bank of England
  • Anton Siluanov
  • Thailand
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