Plane Crash and Boat Capsizes in DR Congo Kill Dozens
A plane crash kills 14 people including military officials, while a boat capsizing on Lake Tanganyika leaves at least 41 dead.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Sky News, 4h 34m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 28% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 04:42 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 18% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Republic of the Congo respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 24 Sept 2026. Sky News published first, on 24 September at 20:04 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 4h 34m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 27 September at 18:47 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), Sky News, Times of India.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Republic of the Congo — the market puts it at 11%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in the Republic of the Congo is officially reported between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about DR Congo for the relevant region, but only cases in the Republic of the Congo count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Republic of the Congo at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Sky NewsAt least 41 dead after boat capsizes in DR Congo18%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraAt least 41 die as boat capsizes in DRC’s Lake Tanganyika18%
- ABC NewsBoat heading from Tanzania to Congo on Lake Tanganyika capsizes, leaving at least 41 dead20%▲2 points since the previous source
- ABC NewsCongo plane crash kills 14, including 2 senior military officials14%▼6 points since the previous source
- Times of India14 killed in Congo plane crash, two senior military officials among dead14%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPlane crash in DR Congo kills more than a dozen14%
- ABC NewsAt least 12 dead and dozens missing after vessel capsizes in eastern Congo18%▲4 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPlane carrying DR Congo military delegation crashes18%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraAt least 12 dead and dozens missing after a vessel capsizes in DRC19%▲1 points since the previous source
- Current odds11%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- At least 12 dead and dozens missing after a vessel capsizes in DRC Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Plane carrying DR Congo military delegation crashes Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- At least 12 dead and dozens missing after vessel capsizes in eastern Congo ABC News ·
- Plane crash in DR Congo kills more than a dozen Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Congo plane crash kills 14, including 2 senior military officials ABC News ·
- Boat heading from Tanzania to Congo on Lake Tanganyika capsizes, leaving at least 41 dead ABC News ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Republic of the Congo 11%
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In this story
- DR Congo
- Tanzania
- Lake Kivu
- Lake Tanganyika