Arsenal squander two-goal lead to draw with Paris FC after Williamson error
A late penalty awarded for a handball by Leah Williamson allowed Paris FC to equalize 2-2 in the Women's Champions League.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by BBC Sport, 20 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 14% |
| 13 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 13% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 13% |
| 12 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 12% |
| 12 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 12% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 05:30 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 11:08 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 13:39 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 12:17 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 05:37 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 23:51 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 13:04 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Sept, 07:14 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 12% |
| 25 Sept, 09:37 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 22:31 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 18:49 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 13:17 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 01:58 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 19:01 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 18:33 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 17:39 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 11:53 UTC | 14% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Arsenal respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 30 Sept 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 30 September at 18:55 UTC; SkySports followed 20 min later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 1 October at 12:13 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), www.espn.com (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 14%, with $670 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of any other competition or season.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 63%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Arsenal — resolved “Yes” on 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the Champions League match against Lille within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or if Lille wins. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time or penalties as the deciding factor, but only the score at the end of regular play counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arsenal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BBC SportArsenal let two-goal lead slip to draw with Paris FC14%
- SkySportsWilliamson blunder sees Arsenal squander two-goal lead vs Paris FC14%
- The Guardian SportLeah Williamson blunder gifts Paris FC a point as Arsenal’s struggles continue14%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesBizarre Leah Williamson handball penalty for Arsenal gifts Paris FC late draw in Women's Champions League14%
- BBC SportWhy penalty for Williamson handball was correct call13%▼1 points since the previous source
- www.espn.comWomen's Champions League VAR review: Why Arsenal's bizarre penalty award was right13%
- Current odds14%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Women's Champions League VAR review: Why Arsenal's bizarre penalty award was right www.espn.com ·
- Leah Williamson blunder gifts Paris FC a point as Arsenal’s struggles continue The Guardian Sport ·
- Why penalty for Williamson handball was correct call BBC Sport
- Bizarre Leah Williamson handball penalty for Arsenal gifts Paris FC late draw in Women's Champions League CBS Sports Headlines
- Williamson blunder sees Arsenal squander two-goal lead vs Paris FC SkySports
- Arsenal let two-goal lead slip to draw with Paris FC BBC Sport
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Arsenal 14%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 63% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Arsenal Yes 24d ago
The market favoured Yes at 80% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Arsenal
- Paris FC
- Leah Williamson
- Misa Rodriguez
- Maeline Mendy