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Arsenal

Implied probability 99%+19
24-hour volume$1.3M
Total volume$1.3M
Liquidity$1.3M
Resolves15 Oct 2026

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the Champions League match against Lille within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or if Lille wins. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time or penalties as the deciding factor, but only the score at the end of regular play counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 99%
  • No 1%

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