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Arizona Voters Choose Governor in Race Between Hobbs and Biggs

Incumbent Katie Hobbs faces Republican Andy Biggs in the state's gubernatorial election.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 3 Nov 2026 · updated 3d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
0%50%100%0%9 Oct, 12:07 UTCnowCBS News Politics: Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs wins reelection, defeating GOP election denier · 4 Nov, 03:38 UTCThe Hill: Democrats hold Arizona governor’s mansion with Hobbs win · 4 Nov, 03:17 UTCThe Hill News: Arizona live results: 2026 governor’s election · 3 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
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The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 3 Nov 2026. The Hill News published first, on 3 November at 17:00 UTC; CBS News Politics followed 10h 38m later. The most recent article, from CBS News Politics, appeared on 4 November at 03:38 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet).

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Republican nominee wins the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution source, but the market relies on calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or official certification if those sources do not agree.
  • Arizona — the market puts it at 0%, with $11k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arizona has the smallest margin of victory among all 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections as of January 20, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about who wins the Arizona race rather than a comparison of margins across all states.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. The Hill NewsArizona live results: 2026 governor’s election6%
  2. The HillDemocrats hold Arizona governor’s mansion with Hobbs win2%▼4 points since the previous source
  3. CBS News PoliticsArizona Gov. Katie Hobbs wins reelection, defeating GOP election denier1%▼1 points since the previous source
  4. Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs wins reelection, defeating GOP election denier CBS News Politics ·
  2. Democrats hold Arizona governor’s mansion with Hobbs win The Hill ·
  3. Arizona live results: 2026 governor’s election The Hill News ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No 3d ago
    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Arizona 0% $11k 24hends 20 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Katie Hobbs
  • Andy Biggs
  • Arizona
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