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Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Resolved: No 3d ago

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$48k
Total volume$436k
Liquidity$32k
Resolved4 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
0%50%100%0%30 Oct, 07:28 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
4 Nov, 03:48 UTC1%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC1%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC2%
4 Nov, 02:26 UTC2%
4 Nov, 01:57 UTC2%
4 Nov, 01:27 UTC4%
4 Nov, 00:43 UTC5%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC4%
3 Nov, 23:53 UTC4%
3 Nov, 22:19 UTC7%
3 Nov, 21:57 UTC6%
3 Nov, 18:06 UTC7%
3 Nov, 17:58 UTC6%
3 Nov, 17:26 UTC6%
3 Nov, 16:40 UTC6%
2 Nov, 23:23 UTC7%
2 Nov, 17:19 UTC6%
2 Nov, 16:42 UTC6%
2 Nov, 02:58 UTC7%
2 Nov, 02:22 UTC8%
2 Nov, 01:17 UTC7%
2 Nov, 00:55 UTC7%
1 Nov, 21:19 UTC7%
1 Nov, 20:57 UTC7%
1 Nov, 20:07 UTC8%
1 Nov, 18:40 UTC8%
1 Nov, 17:49 UTC8%
1 Nov, 17:05 UTC8%
1 Nov, 16:44 UTC9%
1 Nov, 16:29 UTC8%
1 Nov, 15:53 UTC8%
1 Nov, 14:45 UTC9%
1 Nov, 14:16 UTC8%
1 Nov, 13:46 UTC9%
1 Nov, 01:24 UTC7%
1 Nov, 00:49 UTC7%
31 Oct, 21:53 UTC7%
31 Oct, 20:28 UTC7%
31 Oct, 19:32 UTC7%
31 Oct, 18:04 UTC7%
31 Oct, 17:57 UTC7%
31 Oct, 17:21 UTC7%
31 Oct, 07:39 UTC7%
31 Oct, 03:01 UTC7%
30 Oct, 21:09 UTC7%
30 Oct, 16:18 UTC8%
30 Oct, 15:21 UTC8%
30 Oct, 11:59 UTC7%
30 Oct, 07:48 UTC7%
30 Oct, 07:28 UTC7%

What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if the Republican nominee wins the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution source, but the market relies on calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or official certification if those sources do not agree.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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