Arizona Candidate Says She Was Raped While Repairing Campaign Signs

Bernadette Greene-Placentia alleges she was attacked and raped by two men in August while fixing a sign for her campaign.

6 publishers · 6 articles · first seen 7 Oct 2026 · updated 29d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Bernadette Greene-Placentia

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	0%
6 Nov, 18:41 UTC	0%
6 Nov, 17:50 UTC	3%
6 Nov, 17:27 UTC	3%
6 Nov, 16:43 UTC	3%
6 Nov, 12:44 UTC	6%
6 Nov, 11:04 UTC	3%
6 Nov, 08:55 UTC	7%
6 Nov, 08:27 UTC	4%
6 Nov, 07:45 UTC	6%
6 Nov, 07:10 UTC	5%
6 Nov, 06:21 UTC	3%
6 Nov, 05:25 UTC	2%
6 Nov, 03:15 UTC	3%
6 Nov, 01:24 UTC	2%
6 Nov, 00:05 UTC	4%
5 Nov, 23:22 UTC	3%
5 Nov, 19:29 UTC	2%
5 Nov, 17:06 UTC	5%
5 Nov, 16:51 UTC	5%
5 Nov, 16:05 UTC	3%
5 Nov, 14:32 UTC	1%
5 Nov, 12:44 UTC	1%
5 Nov, 12:14 UTC	2%
5 Nov, 06:55 UTC	5%
5 Nov, 06:26 UTC	3%
5 Nov, 04:40 UTC	5%
5 Nov, 04:05 UTC	2%
5 Nov, 03:37 UTC	5%
5 Nov, 03:16 UTC	3%
5 Nov, 02:54 UTC	1%
5 Nov, 01:56 UTC	2%
5 Nov, 01:13 UTC	3%
5 Nov, 00:51 UTC	3%
4 Nov, 23:47 UTC	5%
4 Nov, 23:11 UTC	5%
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC	1%
4 Nov, 22:27 UTC	5%
4 Nov, 21:58 UTC	4%
4 Nov, 20:52 UTC	1%
4 Nov, 19:49 UTC	3%
4 Nov, 19:04 UTC	4%
4 Nov, 18:57 UTC	3%
4 Nov, 17:56 UTC	2%
4 Nov, 17:27 UTC	0%
4 Nov, 16:49 UTC	4%
4 Nov, 16:27 UTC	6%
4 Nov, 15:58 UTC	9%
4 Nov, 15:28 UTC	5%
4 Nov, 14:59 UTC	6%
4 Nov, 14:23 UTC	7%
4 Nov, 13:53 UTC	5%
4 Nov, 13:09 UTC	5%
4 Nov, 12:47 UTC	6%
4 Nov, 12:17 UTC	10%
4 Nov, 11:54 UTC	13%
4 Nov, 11:12 UTC	14%
4 Nov, 10:58 UTC	15%
4 Nov, 09:50 UTC	15%
4 Nov, 09:28 UTC	15%
4 Nov, 08:53 UTC	22%
4 Nov, 08:24 UTC	56%
4 Nov, 07:56 UTC	64%
4 Nov, 07:27 UTC	74%
4 Nov, 06:57 UTC	65%
4 Nov, 06:28 UTC	50%
4 Nov, 05:53 UTC	19%
4 Nov, 05:17 UTC	23%
4 Nov, 04:54 UTC	27%
4 Nov, 04:25 UTC	49%
4 Nov, 03:55 UTC	65%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC	56%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC	50%
4 Nov, 02:26 UTC	44%
4 Nov, 01:57 UTC	28%
4 Nov, 01:27 UTC	23%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC	14%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC	17%
3 Nov, 20:12 UTC	14%
3 Nov, 14:32 UTC	12%
3 Nov, 03:54 UTC	14%
3 Nov, 01:54 UTC	12%
2 Nov, 23:51 UTC	10%
2 Nov, 05:31 UTC	11%
2 Nov, 03:21 UTC	12%
2 Nov, 00:48 UTC	15%
1 Nov, 21:56 UTC	13%
1 Nov, 17:20 UTC	15%
31 Oct, 20:50 UTC	13%
30 Oct, 20:22 UTC	14%
30 Oct, 01:48 UTC	15%
29 Oct, 22:10 UTC	16%
29 Oct, 15:30 UTC	13%
29 Oct, 01:59 UTC	12%
28 Oct, 15:47 UTC	11%
28 Oct, 04:35 UTC	13%
27 Oct, 10:42 UTC	11%
26 Oct, 02:48 UTC	12%
24 Oct, 15:48 UTC	10%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC	12%
18 Oct, 20:53 UTC	11%
16 Oct, 02:16 UTC	12%
15 Oct, 09:16 UTC	14%
14 Oct, 14:31 UTC	15%
13 Oct, 14:35 UTC	16%
10 Oct, 13:28 UTC	17%
9 Oct, 04:40 UTC	15%
8 Oct, 17:34 UTC	13%
7 Oct, 17:21 UTC	14%

The story so far

6 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 7 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 7 October at 20:21 UTC; BBC News followed 17h 49m later. The most recent article, from CBS News Politics, appeared on 8 October at 20:54 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian US (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), BBC News, Fox News Politics.

One prediction market prices this story:

Bernadette Greene-Placentia — resolved “No” on 6 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the person sworn into the U.S. House for Arizona's 8th district in 2027 is a Democrat. It resolves to No if that member belongs to any other party or is independent. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Bernadette Greene as the deciding factor, but only the official party affiliation of the sworn-in representative matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Bernadette Greene-Placentia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

7 Oct, 20:21The Guardian US Arizona congressional candidate says she was raped while trying to repair campaign sign14%
8 Oct, 14:10BBC News Arizona congressional candidate says she was raped while repairing campaign sign14%
8 Oct, 15:05The Hill Congressional candidate says she was raped while repairing campaign signs14%
8 Oct, 17:05Fox News Politics Dem House hopeful alleges she was brutally attacked during 2 am campaign errand14%
8 Oct, 18:34Washington Post Arizona House candidate says she was raped while out fixing campaign signs13%▼1 points since the previous source
8 Oct, 20:54CBS News Politics Arizona congressional candidate reports rape while repairing campaign signs13%
6 Nov, 18:42Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Resolved Bernadette Greene-Placentia No 13h ago
The market favoured No at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong

In this story

Bernadette Greene-Placentia
Abraham Hamadeh
Arizona

Embed this story

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