Apple To Unveil Smart Home Hub And New Devices On Oct. 13
The company will reveal its first smart home display, dubbed HomePad, alongside an updated HomePod mini and Apple TV set-top box featuring Siri AI.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Verge, 1h 15m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 04:31 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 23:39 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Oct, 18:26 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Oct, 17:37 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Oct, 12:44 UTC | 46% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Oct, 11:48 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 49% |
| 2 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 56% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 62% |
| 1 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 60% |
| 1 Oct, 22:06 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 54% |
| 1 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 54% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Sept, 14:20 UTC | 49% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 30 Sept 2026. The Verge published first, on 30 September at 11:11 UTC; Engadget followed 1h 16m later. The most recent article, from Inc., appeared on 1 October at 18:32 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), Engadget, theinformation.com, CNET, zdnet.com, Times of India, Inc..
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? — the market puts it at 40%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. Apple must publicly announce and launch a category of products it has never sold before by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET for the market to resolve to Yes. Updates or iterations of existing lines like iPhones or Macs do not count as new product lines. Readers often mistake the linked story's October date as the deadline, but the actual cutoff is the end of 2026.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 20%, with $54 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Apple announces a MacBook with a built-in cellular modem before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such announcement occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the October 13 event in the linked story as the relevant deadline, but only announcements made before the end of 2026 count.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 2%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Apple publicly releases the iPhone 18 before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific release does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a smart home hub for the relevant event, but only the iPhone 18 launch counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The VergeApple’s ‘HomePad’ will reportedly launch on October 13th—
- EngadgetApple's smart home hub could arrive next month—
- Bloomberg TechnologyApple to Make Debut in Smart-Home Market on Oct. 13—
- theinformation.comApple Plans Aggressive New Push Into Smart Home49%
- CNETApple Is Reportedly Ready to Release Its Smarter Home Hub in 2 Weeks49%
- zdnet.comApple could unveil a ‘HomePad’ this month – and I have a wish list49%
- Times of IndiaWhat is Apple's next big product: Here's everything you need to know49%
- Inc.Apple’s Next Big Device May Arrive October 13. It Could Change the Way Your Family Uses Tech56%▲8 points since the previous source
- Current odds40%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Apple to Make Debut in Smart-Home Market on Oct. 13 Bloomberg Technology ·
- Apple’s ‘HomePad’ will reportedly launch on October 13th The Verge ·
- Apple’s Next Big Device May Arrive October 13. It Could Change the Way Your Family Uses Tech Inc.
- What is Apple's next big product: Here's everything you need to know Times of India
- Apple could unveil a ‘HomePad’ this month – and I have a wish list zdnet.com
- Apple Is Reportedly Ready to Release Its Smarter Home Hub in 2 Weeks CNET
- Apple Plans Aggressive New Push Into Smart Home theinformation.com
- Apple's smart home hub could arrive next month Engadget
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? 40% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 20% +8
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
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In this story
- Apple
- HomePod mini
- Siri AI
- Apple TV