Apple Cuts iPhone 18 Pro Component Orders Amid Soft Demand
Orders for iPhone 18 Pro parts have dropped approximately 15% in October due to weaker consumer interest.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 00:48 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Nov, 02:44 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 18:40 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 10:20 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 06:45 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 01:40 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 07:03 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 16:05 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 13:54 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 3% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2027 respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 9 Oct 2026. MarketWatch published first, on 9 October at 10:04 UTC; Quartz followed 7h 27m later. The most recent article, from Fortune, appeared on 10 October at 12:42 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: MarketWatch, Quartz, Fortune.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, with $16k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Apple publicly releases the iPhone 18 before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific release does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a smart home hub for the relevant event, but only the iPhone 18 launch counts.
- iPhone 18 — resolved “Yes” on 3 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if an Apple representative mentions iPhone 18 during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. It resolves to No if that specific term is not spoken by any representative in that setting. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of product release rather than a check for verbal mention during the call.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- MarketWatchIs iPhone 18 demand cooling off? Here’s how deep Apple reportedly is cutting component orders3%
- QuartzApple is cutting iPhone 18 Pro component orders amid soft demand3%
- FortuneA $100 price hike may be all it takes to scare off iPhone buyers in this economy, as Apple reportedly slashes orders3%
- Current odds3%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- A $100 price hike may be all it takes to scare off iPhone buyers in this economy, as Apple reportedly slashes orders Fortune
- Apple is cutting iPhone 18 Pro component orders amid soft demand Quartz
- Is iPhone 18 demand cooling off? Here’s how deep Apple reportedly is cutting component orders MarketWatch
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2027 3% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved iPhone 18 Yes 4d ago
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Apple
- Nikkei Asia