Apple to Debut First Touchscreen MacBook in Late October Event
The company plans to unveil the device alongside a new iPad Mini on or around October 27, following its upcoming smart home launch.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Verge, 5 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 10:20 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 11:07 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 06:45 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 01:40 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 07:03 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 16:05 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 13:54 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 3% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2027 respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 13 articles since 8 Oct 2026. The Verge published first, on 8 October at 16:08 UTC; Bloomberg Technology followed 6 min later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 9 October at 12:10 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), Engadget, CNET, Quartz.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Apple publicly releases the iPhone 18 before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific release does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a smart home hub for the relevant event, but only the iPhone 18 launch counts.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 31 Oct 2026. Apple must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of the trading day on October 31, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. The No outcome applies if any other company holds that position at that specific time. Readers often mistake the announcement date of Apple's new products for the resolution deadline.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — the market puts it at 40%, with $13k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. Apple must hold the highest global market capitalization at the exact moment the stock market closes on December 31, 2026. The outcome depends on the final closing prices of all major companies on that specific date. Readers often mistake intraday highs or news reports for the official resolution data.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The VergeApple announces surprise ‘Welcome home’ launch event3%
- Bloomberg TechnologyApple Announces Oct. 13 Smart Home Product Launch in New York3%
- RSS 2.0Apple is set to show off new smart home devices at an October 13 event3%
- cnet.comApple Announces Next ‘Welcome Home’ Special Event on Oct. 133%
- QuartzApple has confirmed a smart home event in New York on Oct. 133%
- QuartzApple hat ein Smart-Home-Event am 13. Oktober in New York bestätigt.3%
- Bloomberg TechnologyApple Set to Debut Touch-Screen MacBook and New iPad Mini in Late October3%
- The VergeApple will reportedly debut its first touchscreen MacBook in three weeks3%
- Engadget - Technology News & Expert ReviewsApple reportedly plans touchscreen MacBook and iPad Mini launch for this month3%
- CNETEverything We Expect From Apple’s Surprise Smart Home Event Next Week3%
- Current odds3%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Apple will reportedly debut its first touchscreen MacBook in three weeks The Verge ·
- Apple Set to Debut Touch-Screen MacBook and New iPad Mini in Late October Bloomberg Technology ·
- Apple Announces Oct. 13 Smart Home Product Launch in New York Bloomberg Technology ·
- Apple announces surprise ‘Welcome home’ launch event The Verge ·
- Apple is planning to unveil its first touchscreen MacBook on October 27 Quartz
- Apple plant, sein erstes MacBook mit Touchscreen am 27. Oktober vorzustellen. Quartz
Show 7 more sources
- What to expect at Apple's 'Welcome home' event next week Engadget
- Everything We Expect From Apple’s Surprise Smart Home Event Next Week CNET
- Apple reportedly plans touchscreen MacBook and iPad Mini launch for this month Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews
- Apple hat ein Smart-Home-Event am 13. Oktober in New York bestätigt. Quartz
- Apple has confirmed a smart home event in New York on Oct. 13 Quartz
- Apple Announces Next ‘Welcome Home’ Special Event on Oct. 13 cnet.com
- Apple is set to show off new smart home devices at an October 13 event RSS 2.0
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2027 3% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes 7d ago
The market favoured Yes at 59% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 40% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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