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Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Resolved: Yes 7d ago

The market favoured Yes at 59% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$90k
Total volume$442k
Liquidity$29k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
0%50%100%100%26 Oct, 14:23 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
31 Oct, 01:46 UTC100%
31 Oct, 00:38 UTC100%
30 Oct, 23:41 UTC100%
30 Oct, 23:23 UTC100%
30 Oct, 22:33 UTC100%
30 Oct, 21:53 UTC100%
30 Oct, 20:29 UTC99%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC99%
30 Oct, 19:27 UTC98%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC98%
30 Oct, 18:18 UTC98%
30 Oct, 17:56 UTC97%
30 Oct, 17:27 UTC95%
30 Oct, 16:54 UTC94%
30 Oct, 16:25 UTC93%
30 Oct, 15:50 UTC88%
30 Oct, 15:28 UTC86%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC80%
30 Oct, 14:23 UTC68%
30 Oct, 13:58 UTC72%
30 Oct, 13:20 UTC50%
30 Oct, 12:59 UTC54%
30 Oct, 12:24 UTC45%
30 Oct, 11:59 UTC52%
30 Oct, 11:24 UTC55%
30 Oct, 10:50 UTC60%
30 Oct, 10:20 UTC58%
30 Oct, 09:58 UTC63%
30 Oct, 09:29 UTC75%
30 Oct, 08:55 UTC70%
30 Oct, 08:22 UTC74%
30 Oct, 07:55 UTC72%
30 Oct, 07:28 UTC69%
30 Oct, 06:56 UTC65%
30 Oct, 06:21 UTC65%
30 Oct, 05:56 UTC64%
30 Oct, 05:28 UTC64%
30 Oct, 04:43 UTC66%
30 Oct, 04:29 UTC66%
30 Oct, 03:54 UTC66%
30 Oct, 03:23 UTC62%
30 Oct, 02:55 UTC60%
30 Oct, 02:16 UTC61%
30 Oct, 01:55 UTC63%
30 Oct, 01:28 UTC63%
30 Oct, 00:56 UTC58%
30 Oct, 00:28 UTC58%
29 Oct, 23:47 UTC58%
29 Oct, 23:26 UTC64%
29 Oct, 22:57 UTC55%
29 Oct, 22:24 UTC33%
29 Oct, 21:55 UTC29%
29 Oct, 21:14 UTC33%
29 Oct, 20:46 UTC34%
29 Oct, 20:24 UTC32%
29 Oct, 19:57 UTC25%
29 Oct, 19:29 UTC24%
29 Oct, 18:21 UTC17%
29 Oct, 17:46 UTC16%
29 Oct, 17:26 UTC15%
29 Oct, 16:57 UTC14%
29 Oct, 16:15 UTC14%
29 Oct, 15:53 UTC15%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC18%
29 Oct, 14:55 UTC22%
29 Oct, 14:24 UTC27%
29 Oct, 13:46 UTC24%
29 Oct, 13:29 UTC15%
29 Oct, 12:59 UTC15%
29 Oct, 12:25 UTC16%
29 Oct, 11:56 UTC15%
29 Oct, 11:20 UTC16%
29 Oct, 10:58 UTC17%
29 Oct, 10:26 UTC17%
29 Oct, 09:55 UTC18%
29 Oct, 09:19 UTC19%
29 Oct, 08:50 UTC21%
29 Oct, 08:26 UTC20%
29 Oct, 07:58 UTC20%
29 Oct, 07:26 UTC20%
29 Oct, 06:58 UTC18%
29 Oct, 06:18 UTC12%
29 Oct, 05:58 UTC12%
29 Oct, 05:22 UTC12%
29 Oct, 04:56 UTC12%
29 Oct, 04:28 UTC13%
29 Oct, 03:35 UTC14%
29 Oct, 03:28 UTC14%
29 Oct, 02:53 UTC12%
29 Oct, 02:06 UTC12%
29 Oct, 01:59 UTC12%
29 Oct, 01:18 UTC13%
29 Oct, 00:55 UTC14%
29 Oct, 00:27 UTC14%
28 Oct, 23:54 UTC14%
28 Oct, 23:26 UTC14%
28 Oct, 22:46 UTC14%
28 Oct, 22:25 UTC14%
28 Oct, 21:57 UTC15%
28 Oct, 21:22 UTC14%
28 Oct, 20:52 UTC14%
28 Oct, 20:17 UTC9%
28 Oct, 19:55 UTC9%
28 Oct, 19:26 UTC7%
28 Oct, 18:59 UTC6%
28 Oct, 18:29 UTC6%
28 Oct, 17:54 UTC6%
28 Oct, 17:23 UTC6%
28 Oct, 16:59 UTC6%
28 Oct, 16:24 UTC6%
28 Oct, 15:55 UTC6%
28 Oct, 15:26 UTC5%
28 Oct, 14:56 UTC5%
28 Oct, 14:14 UTC6%
28 Oct, 13:57 UTC6%
28 Oct, 13:24 UTC6%
28 Oct, 12:43 UTC6%
28 Oct, 12:29 UTC5%
28 Oct, 11:45 UTC6%
28 Oct, 11:24 UTC6%
28 Oct, 10:48 UTC6%
28 Oct, 09:48 UTC6%
28 Oct, 09:03 UTC6%
28 Oct, 08:43 UTC6%
28 Oct, 08:29 UTC6%
28 Oct, 07:56 UTC6%
28 Oct, 07:22 UTC6%
28 Oct, 06:20 UTC6%
28 Oct, 05:19 UTC6%
28 Oct, 04:56 UTC6%
28 Oct, 04:17 UTC6%
28 Oct, 03:22 UTC6%
28 Oct, 02:58 UTC6%
28 Oct, 02:23 UTC6%
28 Oct, 01:49 UTC6%
28 Oct, 01:21 UTC7%
28 Oct, 00:53 UTC7%
28 Oct, 00:21 UTC7%
27 Oct, 23:45 UTC7%
27 Oct, 23:12 UTC7%
27 Oct, 22:58 UTC7%
27 Oct, 22:23 UTC7%
27 Oct, 21:56 UTC8%
27 Oct, 21:19 UTC8%
27 Oct, 20:53 UTC8%
27 Oct, 20:24 UTC8%
27 Oct, 19:55 UTC8%
27 Oct, 19:26 UTC9%
27 Oct, 17:57 UTC9%
27 Oct, 17:28 UTC9%
27 Oct, 16:52 UTC9%
27 Oct, 16:22 UTC9%
27 Oct, 15:56 UTC11%
27 Oct, 15:20 UTC13%
27 Oct, 14:43 UTC10%
27 Oct, 14:29 UTC7%
27 Oct, 13:57 UTC6%
27 Oct, 13:11 UTC7%
27 Oct, 12:50 UTC7%
27 Oct, 12:15 UTC7%
27 Oct, 11:51 UTC8%
27 Oct, 11:22 UTC8%
27 Oct, 10:49 UTC9%
27 Oct, 10:27 UTC9%
27 Oct, 09:44 UTC9%
27 Oct, 08:54 UTC10%
27 Oct, 08:27 UTC9%
27 Oct, 07:51 UTC9%
27 Oct, 06:42 UTC10%
27 Oct, 06:26 UTC10%
27 Oct, 05:54 UTC9%
27 Oct, 05:27 UTC9%
27 Oct, 04:47 UTC9%
27 Oct, 04:26 UTC9%
27 Oct, 03:52 UTC9%
27 Oct, 02:02 UTC9%
27 Oct, 01:53 UTC9%
27 Oct, 01:25 UTC8%
27 Oct, 00:59 UTC8%
27 Oct, 00:10 UTC8%
26 Oct, 23:52 UTC8%
26 Oct, 23:17 UTC7%
26 Oct, 22:56 UTC7%
26 Oct, 22:22 UTC7%
26 Oct, 21:53 UTC7%
26 Oct, 21:11 UTC9%
26 Oct, 20:49 UTC8%
26 Oct, 19:44 UTC8%
26 Oct, 19:23 UTC9%
26 Oct, 18:57 UTC11%
26 Oct, 18:26 UTC12%
26 Oct, 17:45 UTC12%
26 Oct, 17:28 UTC12%
26 Oct, 16:59 UTC14%
26 Oct, 16:24 UTC16%
26 Oct, 15:54 UTC17%
26 Oct, 15:17 UTC17%
26 Oct, 14:55 UTC18%
26 Oct, 14:23 UTC18%

What counts

Apple must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of the trading day on October 31, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. The No outcome applies if any other company holds that position at that specific time. Readers often mistake the announcement date of Apple's new products for the resolution deadline.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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