Analysts Say Trump’s Board of Peace Failed to Secure Lasting Gaza Ceasefire
A year after the ceasefire, analysts conclude that the board has failed in its attempts to secure lasting peace in Gaza.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 11 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 99% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 52% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 56% |
| 11 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 67% |
| 11 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 53% |
| 11 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 00:26 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 49% |
| 10 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 54% |
| 10 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 49% |
| 10 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 61% |
| 9 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 65% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 10 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 10 October at 11:19 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Ceasefire — resolved “Yes” on 12 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump states a ceasefire between October 1, 2026, at 10:00 am ET and November 1, 2026, at 12:00 am ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of an event rather than the specific time window for Trump's statement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Ceasefire Yes 26d ago
The market favoured Yes at 60% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?